NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	87		Excitement	9.2 [122]		MVP	Cory Joseph (TOR): +28.6%
Orlando Magic	92		Comeback	3.2 [190]		LVP	DeMarre Carroll (TOR): -29.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cory Joseph	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.29	0.12	0.16	-0.01	9	79%	0.30	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.05	0.11	0.00	15	55%	0.18	1	-0.02	12	75%	-0.08
Kyle Lowry	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	16	49%	0.09	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Anthony Bennett	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Ross	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	5	18%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Patrick Patterson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	6	0%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	11	32%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.15	0.03	-0.18	-0.00	6	53%	-0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
DeMarre Carroll	-0.29	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0,0,0,0,-0.12,-0.29	-0.08	-0.22	-0.01	13	32%	-0.12	1	-0.18	2	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23	0.23	0.08	0.15	0.00	10	83%	0.34	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.06
Evan Fournier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	-0.03	0.20	-0.02	11	42%	0.23	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.08,0.08,-0.02,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	14	56%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	5	62%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	10	55%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	8	31%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.3	2.5	28.5	15.3	25.4	2.4	31.6	136.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +71.2%

TOR -1.2%

TOR -23.2%

ORL +5.7%

TOR -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ORL	NBA	TOR	ORL	NBA
this game	18.7	14.2	14.9	98.9	105.7	105.1
season	16.1	14.6		107.2	103.6
opponent	14.9	14.8		105.2	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	18.5	19.8	15.3	21.7	18.7
ORL	13.7	13.5	15.3	14.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Patterson	39	38	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.03	4	-9	13	19.0	18.4	0.64	15.1	13.5	1.57
Luis Scola	42	41	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.01	3	-8	11	17.5	19.8	-2.33	13.4	15.0	-1.61
Jonas Valanciunas	42	43	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.25	10	-15	25	17.4	19.9	-2.51	14.9	13.5	1.36
Terrence Ross	25	25	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	1	-7	19.8	18.2	1.58	15.0	13.9	1.04
Anthony Bennett	11	11	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	3	-11	17.2	18.9	-1.70	11.5	14.6	-3.16
DeMar DeRozan	76	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.37	3	-8	11	18.7	18.6	0.10	14.3	13.6	0.71
Kyle Lowry	59	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-3	1	18.2	19.6	-1.37	14.0	14.7	-0.73
Bismack Biyombo	28	27	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.06	-12	7	-19	21.0	17.6	3.42	14.3	14.2	0.11
Cory Joseph	51	50	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.39	-2	-3	1	19.3	17.8	1.53	14.8	13.4	1.46
DeMarre Carroll	67	67	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.38	-15	10	-25	18.8	18.3	0.51	13.6	16.4	-2.83

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Watson	47	47	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.33	14	-9	23	15.2	13.1	2.07	19.6	17.6	1.94
Victor Oladipo	57	59	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.39	8	-3	11	13.6	15.4	-1.80	18.6	18.7	-0.08
Tobias Harris	66	67	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.38	6	-1	7	13.7	15.9	-2.22	18.8	18.3	0.51
Shabazz Napier	32	32	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	-7	19	14.3	14.1	0.20	17.0	19.6	-2.58
Evan Fournier	48	48	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.45	-10	15	-25	14.5	13.9	0.58	20.4	16.6	3.75
Dewayne Dedmon	53	55	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.33	-6	11	-17	14.0	14.6	-0.66	19.8	16.7	3.11
Channing Frye	24	25	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	-1	7	14.9	14.0	0.91	20.3	18.0	2.25
Jason Smith	15	14	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	2	1	15.4	14.0	1.43	15.0	19.4	-4.36
Aaron Gordon	24	23	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	1	3	14.3	14.2	0.10	15.2	19.9	-4.67
Mario Hezonja	40	40	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	0	5	14.3	14.2	0.10	18.0	19.2	-1.18
Elfrid Payton	29	30	-0.48	0.98	-1.46	0.02	-17	22	-39	13.7	14.5	-0.74	17.8	19.1	-1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.42,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.78,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 93, NOK 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.72,0.68,0.72,1	91.6%
NJN 87, PHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.41,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.6,0.53,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.73,1	90.8%
VAN 81, ATL 84	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.36,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.47,0.66,0.6,0.39,0.72,0.68,0.92,1	90.1%