NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	94		Excitement	6.7 [497]		MVP	Al Horford (ATL): +14.3%
Atlanta Hawks	97		Comeback	1.3 [895]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (CHA): -12.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lamb	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	8	69%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.03	0,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.02	0.03	0.02	11	59%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	53%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	0%	-0.04
Cody Zeller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	15	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Hairston	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	5	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	8	55%	0.05	3	-0.12	6	100%	0.02
Kemba Walker	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	15	41%	-0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	-0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	10	67%	0.07	7	-0.19	1	100%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.06	-0.04	15	60%	0.17	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.01	0.03	13	68%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.01	10	67%	0.17	4	-0.12	7	86%	0.02
Jeff Teague	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	14	47%	0.09	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	15	44%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	41%	-0.00	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Lamar Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.4	26.6	19.6	25.2	2.5	39.0	139.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +16.5%

ATL +9.4%

CHA -2.5%

ATL +19.0%

ATL +7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ATL	NBA	CHA	ATL	NBA
this game	15.1	13.9	14.9	94.0	98.0	105.1
season	15.1	14.2		105.5	104.1
opponent	15.1	14.8		100.3	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.9	14.4	15.0	16.0	15.1
ATL	13.3	13.9	13.8	14.6	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Frank Kaminsky	28	29	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.06	8	-11	19	14.5	15.3	-0.73	13.6	14.0	-0.46
Al Jefferson	59	60	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.26	7	-10	17	15.5	14.5	1.01	14.7	12.6	2.17
Kemba Walker	70	70	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.34	6	-9	15	15.0	15.3	-0.30	14.7	11.8	2.90
Nicolas Batum	67	68	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.36	6	-9	15	14.9	15.4	-0.50	14.7	12.0	2.74
PJ Hairston	33	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	3	-9	15.9	14.6	1.27	14.2	13.7	0.54
Jeremy Lin	58	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.38	3	-6	9	14.6	15.7	-1.09	13.5	14.4	-0.95
Marvin Williams	75	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.47	6	-9	15	15.3	14.4	0.88	13.7	14.4	-0.75
Jeremy Lamb	33	31	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	6	-15	15.4	14.9	0.50	12.0	14.7	-2.74
Spencer Hawes	39	38	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	6	-15	14.9	15.1	-0.22	12.9	14.5	-1.64
Cody Zeller	38	35	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	0.03	-27	24	-51	14.6	15.3	-0.69	12.8	14.5	-1.67

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	45	47	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.26	12	-9	21	12.3	15.2	-2.96	15.1	15.0	0.05
Al Horford	69	72	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.20	12	-9	21	13.8	14.1	-0.27	16.0	12.7	3.26
Paul Millsap	76	76	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	2	-1	14.2	13.0	1.20	14.6	16.5	-1.84
Lamar Patterson	45	46	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.22	3	0	3	14.2	13.6	0.51	13.3	16.5	-3.17
Tiago Splitter	33	34	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.06	7	-4	11	13.9	13.8	0.09	13.6	15.8	-2.23
Jeff Teague	70	70	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.27	-3	6	-9	13.8	14.0	-0.22	15.4	14.3	1.04
Kent Bazemore	63	61	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.45	-10	13	-23	13.8	14.1	-0.32	16.0	13.6	2.41
Mike Scott	28	27	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.16	-4	7	-11	13.8	13.9	-0.08	15.8	14.8	1.03
Dennis Schroder	66	67	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.11	-3	6	-9	14.7	12.2	2.55	15.0	15.2	-0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 89, CHA 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.87,0.84,0.91,1	93.9%
UTA 94, OKC 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
MIN 77, IND 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	93.5%