NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	103		Excitement	4.0 [1021]		MVP	Tyreke Evans (NOP): +13.5%
New Orleans Pelicans	108		Comeback	1.3 [378]		LVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): -14.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.13	0.02	0.06	8	88%	0.12	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Aron Baynes	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.04	9	68%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.02	0.05	14	71%	0.07	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.03	17	64%	0.06	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Kyle Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kawhi Leonard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	14	47%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Danny Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.03	0.02	7	25%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	-0.01	15	63%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	10	62%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	3	64%	0.05	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.09
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	9	55%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	12	54%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	26	51%	0.09	6	-0.10	9	78%	-0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	44%	-0.00	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.0	23.5	15.0	24.8	1.6	42.5	132.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +24.8%

SAS -0.6%

NOP +10.0%

NOP +13.1%

NOP +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NOP	NBA	SAS	NOP	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	15.1	108.4	111.3	104.2
season	15.4	15.8		106.9	106.3
opponent	15.2	14.9		106.1	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.9	14.9	16.7	12.1	15.0
NOP	13.7	15.8	17.5	13.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	23	24	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.29	13	-18	31	11.4	16.1	-4.71	15.4	14.9	0.50
Jeff Ayres	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-8	11	5.5	15.2	-9.66	4.5	15.3	-10.76
Kyle Anderson	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.14	5	-10	15	5.0	15.3	-10.28	3.0	15.4	-12.43
Danny Green	36	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-2	-1	15.6	14.6	1.05	15.2	14.9	0.28
Cory Joseph	16	17	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-3	1	13.7	15.2	-1.53	13.9	15.3	-1.33
Manu Ginobili	41	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	0	-5	14.1	15.6	-1.43	15.5	14.7	0.84
Aron Baynes	48	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	2	-9	15.9	14.0	1.94	16.5	13.6	2.85
Marco Belinelli	34	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	2	-9	14.0	15.5	-1.54	13.1	16.1	-3.06
Tim Duncan	64	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-3	1	15.7	13.4	2.33	15.4	14.4	0.95
Kawhi Leonard	74	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-2	-1	15.5	13.1	2.33	15.0	15.3	-0.37
Boris Diaw	67	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	1	-7	14.8	15.2	-0.41	15.1	14.8	0.35
Tony Parker	67	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.15	-11	6	-17	16.0	12.5	3.54	15.3	14.4	0.88

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	54	51	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.19	12	-7	19	13.9	16.5	-2.64	14.6	15.4	-0.76
Anthony Davis	88	87	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.24	10	-5	15	15.0	15.1	-0.08	14.9	15.9	-1.00
Ryan Anderson	43	42	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.20	8	-3	11	15.6	14.6	1.01	13.8	15.8	-2.02
Tyreke Evans	67	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	1	3	15.2	14.7	0.45	15.5	13.7	1.76
Quincy Pondexter	46	45	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	2	1	15.0	15.0	0.00	15.8	14.2	1.64
Dante Cunningham	30	27	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	2	1	14.3	15.4	-1.07	15.0	14.9	0.06
Eric Gordon	66	67	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.39	-9	14	-23	15.5	14.1	1.34	14.3	16.6	-2.39
Norris Cole	32	31	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	4	-3	15.1	15.0	0.03	13.7	15.5	-1.80
Omer Asik	54	53	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.18	-5	10	-15	15.5	14.5	1.03	16.3	13.3	2.95
Alexis Ajinca	5	5	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	7	-9	14.8	15.1	-0.25	17.6	14.8	2.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 97, MIL 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.72,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.3%
NOK 86, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%
PHI 118, CLE 125	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	94.3%