NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	97		Excitement	2.1 [1282]		MVP	J.R. Smith (CLE): +10.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	109		Comeback	1.1 [1132]		LVP	Reggie Jackson (DET): -7.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Drummond	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	0.00	0.08	13	65%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	0%	-0.04
Caron Butler	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.14	0.00	0.13	10	86%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jodie Meeks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.09	0.00	0.09	7	71%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	-0.00	0.08	9	65%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	9	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Shawne Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	7	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	18	45%	-0.06	4	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.26	0.00	0.16	15	93%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.02	7	86%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	0.00	0.06	3	133%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.12	8	31%	0.03	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	15	47%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	0%	-0.00
Mike Miller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	9	39%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	17	52%	-0.01	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	26.8	14.8	23.5	2.3	25.6	119.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +38.2%

CLE +2.7%

CLE +9.0%

CLE +0.2%

DET -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CLE	NBA	DET	CLE	NBA
this game	15.6	17.3	15.1	110.2	125.3	104.2
season	15.7	15.9		104.0	108.7
opponent	14.9	15.3		104.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.6	15.2	16.7	14.9	15.6
CLE	16.4	16.1	17.6	19.4	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawne Williams	10	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-13	14	13.2	15.9	-2.68	17.7	17.3	0.44
Quincy Miller	28	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.24	6	-18	24	14.8	15.9	-1.11	18.0	17.0	1.00
John Lucas III	10	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-10	8	18.2	15.2	2.96	17.0	17.4	-0.39
Anthony Tolliver	46	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.31	5	-17	22	14.8	16.4	-1.58	18.2	16.5	1.68
Jodie Meeks	52	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-16	20	14.4	17.2	-2.83	18.2	16.0	2.25
Greg Monroe	48	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-2	-8	16.8	14.1	2.67	16.3	18.6	-2.26
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	46	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	3	-18	16.4	14.7	1.66	16.4	18.4	-1.98
Reggie Jackson	78	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	-2	-8	15.2	18.2	-2.96	17.4	17.0	0.39
Caron Butler	50	49	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.13	-19	7	-26	16.5	14.4	2.09	16.9	17.9	-1.07
Andre Drummond	72	70	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.08	-20	8	-28	15.6	15.6	0.02	17.5	16.9	0.57

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	58	59	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.09	19	-7	26	17.2	17.7	-0.52	16.3	14.1	2.15
Timofey Mozgov	44	46	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.12	17	-5	22	16.7	18.0	-1.34	15.9	15.3	0.61
Kyrie Irving	33	34	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.20	19	-7	26	15.7	18.4	-2.70	15.5	15.6	-0.13
J.R. Smith	57	58	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.08	9	3	6	16.8	18.5	-1.71	16.2	14.3	1.94
Kevin Love	47	48	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	6	0	17.9	16.7	1.10	16.2	14.8	1.38
Iman Shumpert	40	41	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	10	-8	19.5	15.5	4.04	15.0	16.1	-1.09
Mike Miller	24	23	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	7	-2	17.0	17.5	-0.48	12.3	16.7	-4.38
Tristan Thompson	34	34	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.20	-3	15	-18	17.0	17.6	-0.57	16.2	15.2	1.07
James Jones	18	18	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	10	-8	17.3	17.3	-0.01	13.6	16.1	-2.47
Matthew Dellavedova	55	55	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.35	-9	21	-30	17.3	17.3	0.00	15.7	15.4	0.35
Kendrick Perkins	25	24	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.23	-7	19	-26	18.8	16.7	2.10	14.9	15.8	-0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 86, MIN 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
MIA 65, CHA 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
PHI 88, NJN 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%