NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	111		Excitement	7.9 [260]		MVP	Trevor Booker (UTA): +34.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	105		Comeback	2.7 [194]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): -22.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Booker	0.34	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.34	0.30	0.08	0.03	15	82%	0.34	0	0.00	14	57%	-0.05
Jeremy Evans	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.09	0.10	0.00	5	75%	0.19	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Rodney Hood	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.23,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.08	-0.00	13	62%	0.20	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
Chris Johnson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	-0.00	9	61%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elijah Millsap	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	8	52%	0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Jack Cooley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Cotton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	0.00	0.02	12	38%	-0.04	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	7	33%	-0.06	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Dante Exum	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	6	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.10	-0.01	22	62%	0.29	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.03	14	60%	0.09	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Joel Freeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	61%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.08	-0.00	17	65%	0.14	3	-0.13	6	100%	0.04
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	0.02	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	10%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22	-0.22	-0.14	-0.08	-0.00	10	10%	-0.19	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	26.4	15.6	27.1	2.3	36.4	134.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +7.7%

UTA +19.6%

UTA +25.9%

POR -7.3%

UTA +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	15.7	13.6	15.1	113.3	106.1	104.2
season	16.2	15.3		103.8	106.5
opponent	15.0	15.3		102.7	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.7	17.2	13.7	15.4	15.7
POR	16.0	12.2	12.5	14.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elijah Millsap	48	48	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.49	12	-6	18	15.6	15.7	-0.05	12.9	14.2	-1.32
Bryce Cotton	54	54	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.30	15	-9	24	16.0	15.2	0.77	12.3	15.1	-2.86
Jeremy Evans	28	28	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.15	17	-11	28	15.9	15.6	0.26	16.1	12.6	3.58
Chris Johnson	52	53	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.12	15	-9	24	16.0	15.3	0.78	12.2	15.2	-2.94
Jack Cooley	16	18	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.18	10	-4	14	16.1	15.6	0.54	13.6	13.6	-0.02
Trevor Booker	75	76	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	7	-8	15.2	17.3	-2.13	13.0	15.4	-2.36
Rodney Hood	64	65	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.13	-5	11	-16	15.2	16.5	-1.22	13.9	13.0	0.92
Rudy Gobert	73	72	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.22	-12	18	-30	15.8	15.2	0.69	12.9	15.4	-2.52
Joe Ingles	34	34	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.05	-8	14	-22	16.0	15.5	0.45	16.7	11.9	4.77
Dante Exum	46	47	-0.46	0.96	-1.43	-0.08	-13	19	-32	15.5	15.8	-0.29	15.0	12.3	2.75

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Meyers Leonard	53	53	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.07	2	-8	10	14.3	12.7	1.64	14.5	17.1	-2.58
Joel Freeland	31	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.13	-6	0	-6	10.1	15.2	-5.06	16.0	15.5	0.43
Chris Kaman	9	9	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.13	-12	6	-18	13.4	13.6	-0.14	15.2	15.7	-0.50
Steve Blake	41	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	4	-14	12.6	14.2	-1.61	16.8	14.9	1.82
Damian Lillard	78	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.14	-6	0	-6	13.3	14.8	-1.51	15.2	17.6	-2.48
Robin Lopez	62	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.53	6	-12	18	15.3	10.6	4.67	16.4	14.5	1.91
CJ McCollum	82	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.45	3	-9	12	14.1	10.8	3.32	15.6	15.9	-0.24
Nicolas Batum	76	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.46	1	-7	8	14.1	11.7	2.39	15.9	14.9	1.05
Allen Crabbe	63	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.22	-8	2	-10	12.5	15.4	-2.85	15.6	15.8	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.42,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.28,0.22,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 106, MIN 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	91.0%
MEM 103, POR 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.47,0.53,0.3,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.28,0.32,0.47,0	90.9%
SAS 115, HOU 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.28,0.31,0.27,0	90.3%