inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 107 Excitement8.7 [161] MVPLou Williams (TOR): +34.5%
Miami Heat 104 Comeback3.5 [265] LVPKyle Lowry (TOR): -16.7%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lou Williams0.340,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.340.200.150.001867%0.3400.007100%0.04
Greivis Vasquez0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.080.080.00967%0.1600.0000%0.00
Patrick Patterson0.070,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.030.02755%0.0700.00667%0.01
Charles Hayes-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.02-0.00450%-0.0100.0000%0.00
DeMar DeRozan-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.01,-0.01-0.000.010.021753%0.164-0.171182%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas-0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.020.00267%0.021-0.0420%-0.04
Terrence Ross-0.020,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.010.021045%-0.0200.0000%0.00
James Johnson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.020.00225%-0.0600.00450%-0.02
Kyle Lowry-0.170,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17-0.07-0.080.011434%-0.141-0.02786%0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.04,0.12,0.07,0.070.070.11-0.020.022056%0.101-0.021479%0.02
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.030.00460%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Goran Dragic0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.11-0.020.051663%0.061-0.033100%0.02
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01367%0.0100.0000%0.00
Zoran Dragic00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.000.00743%-0.0000.0000%0.00
James Ennis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Luol Deng0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.011242%-0.0200.00250%-0.06
Tyler Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.00-0.070.04440%-0.1100.00250%-0.01
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.10-0.04-0.02629%-0.062-0.06560%-0.03
Hassan Whiteside0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13-0.13-0.05-0.10-0.02850%0.033-0.161625%-0.20
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.32.734.915.528.43.338.7150.8
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +34.7%
TOR +13.2%
TOR +2.7%
TOR +0.7%
MIA -1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORMIANBATORMIANBA
this game15.516.015.1117.6113.0104.2
season15.616.0109.1102.4
opponent15.315.0105.4106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR17.214.316.714.215.5
MIA15.515.018.415.216.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lou Williams60601.11-0.611.720.5220-173714.218.0-3.7215.017.8-2.85
Patrick Patterson71720.500.000.490.4712-115.714.80.8515.517.7-2.23
Kyle Lowry66670.390.110.270.44-25-715.715.20.4916.514.51.97
Tyler Hansbrough58560.310.190.130.40-36-916.114.51.5715.716.4-0.76
Greivis Vasquez47480.140.36-0.21-0.098-51315.016.1-1.1616.315.60.74
Jonas Valanciunas17180.120.38-0.25-0.025-2714.915.6-0.7119.215.24.06
DeMar DeRozan71710.120.38-0.250.30-69-1515.914.11.7515.318.1-2.83
Charles Hayes28300.120.38-0.27-0.035-2714.516.0-1.4216.515.70.86
James Johnson88-0.050.55-0.600.01-25-714.415.6-1.2512.916.2-3.38
Terrence Ross2930-0.260.76-1.030.06-1114-2517.814.53.3417.715.12.59

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Udonis Haslem29280.21-0.710.930.017-101718.614.73.8918.314.34.00
Zoran Dragic11-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-694.016.1-12.093.015.7-12.66
Luol Deng7069-0.16-0.340.18-0.284-71115.517.5-2.0915.914.31.64
Hassan Whiteside6767-0.16-0.340.18-0.284-71115.317.6-2.2616.014.11.89
James Ennis3433-0.20-0.300.10-0.02-63-915.516.2-0.6814.016.4-2.43
Goran Dragic7070-0.22-0.280.07-0.241-4515.716.6-0.8916.512.34.14
Dwyane Wade6161-0.23-0.270.03-0.478-111916.315.31.0016.413.82.61
Chris Andersen2524-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.14-74-1117.615.32.2614.116.0-1.89
Michael Beasley2222-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.14-74-1117.515.52.0914.315.9-1.64
Mario Chalmers3634-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.03-1411-2516.015.90.0713.716.6-2.89
Tyler Johnson4546-0.620.12-0.75-0.39-85-1314.717.2-2.5214.017.1-3.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.75,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.4,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 102, PHX 990.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.28,0.45,0.1,092.1%
GSW 104, WAS 990.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.33,0.23,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.29,0.45,0.27,091.8%
SAS 91, DAL 860.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.16,091.4%