NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	100		Excitement	6.4 [524]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +31.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	105		Comeback	1.3 [1231]		LVP	Matt Barnes (LAC): -11.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Sacre	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	6	67%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.09	0.02	0.02	12	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.01	0.04	9	73%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jordan Clarkson	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	17	50%	0.09	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Dwight Buycks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ed Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	4	58%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Jeremy Lin	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	10	54%	0.02	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.02
Jabari Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.03	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.03
Ryan Kelly	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	0.00	-0.03	17	23%	-0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.31	0.31	0.22	0.13	0.03	14	79%	0.31	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.06	-0.03	20	56%	0.18	3	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.01	11	61%	0.10	0	0.00	9	100%	0.05
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.07	-0.00	7	44%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	5	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	9	28%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	3.0	35.2	18.3	25.7	3.0	46.3	154.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +32.4%

LAC +1.2%

LAC +13.9%

LAC +5.8%

LAL -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	LAC	NBA	LAL	LAC	NBA
this game	17.2	13.0	15.1	105.3	109.4	104.2
season	15.5	14.6		101.9	110.5
opponent	15.3	14.7		104.6	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.8	19.0	16.3	16.7	17.2
LAC	11.6	12.9	15.0	12.8	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Sacre	41	42	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.04	1	-6	7	18.6	16.1	2.54	13.3	12.8	0.49
Dwight Buycks	23	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-2	-1	20.3	16.2	4.20	14.1	12.7	1.46
Jabari Brown	46	48	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-4	3	17.4	17.0	0.43	13.2	12.8	0.48
Tarik Black	46	46	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.22	5	-10	15	15.7	18.5	-2.81	13.0	13.0	-0.06
Ed Davis	39	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-8	11	19.5	15.6	3.89	14.5	11.9	2.66
Jeremy Lin	52	51	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.31	-5	0	-5	16.1	18.4	-2.33	12.2	14.0	-1.78
Jordan Clarkson	73	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-3	1	16.0	21.1	-5.10	12.5	14.7	-2.12
Wesley Johnson	81	83	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.44	-4	-1	-3	16.6	20.7	-4.16	12.6	15.5	-2.84
Ryan Kelly	74	72	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.10	-19	14	-33	17.5	16.0	1.56	13.0	13.0	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	74	75	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.36	14	-9	23	12.5	14.7	-2.23	16.3	20.3	-4.03
JJ Redick	60	61	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.22	18	-13	31	12.6	13.7	-1.18	16.6	18.2	-1.66
DeAndre Jordan	68	68	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.41	9	-4	13	12.6	13.9	-1.25	16.6	18.5	-1.83
Chris Paul	72	72	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.33	11	-6	17	12.6	14.3	-1.71	16.2	20.3	-4.14
Matt Barnes	66	67	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.38	5	0	5	12.3	14.7	-2.41	15.8	20.4	-4.52
Hedo Turkoglu	23	21	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.03	-2	7	-9	14.2	12.6	1.53	21.5	15.9	5.53
Jamal Crawford	37	36	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.07	-2	7	-9	13.9	12.4	1.52	17.6	16.9	0.76
Spencer Hawes	23	22	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.02	-4	9	-13	14.0	12.7	1.30	20.5	16.2	4.28
Austin Rivers	32	30	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.17	-12	17	-29	13.7	12.6	1.11	19.2	16.2	2.92
Glen Davis	25	23	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.02	-12	17	-29	15.5	12.1	3.34	19.7	16.4	3.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.97,0.98,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 108, PHX 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.93,0.9,0.92,1	94.1%
NJN 86, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.67,0.8,0.85,0.98,1,1	93.7%
UTA 82, LAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.63,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.95,0.99,0.99,1	93.5%