NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	135		Excitement	9.1 [120]		MVP	Chandler Parsons (DAL): +68.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder	131		Comeback	3.7 [228]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (DAL): -8.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chandler Parsons	0.69	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.21,0.55,0.69	0.12	0.56	-0.01	15	67%	0.71	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Monta Ellis	0.26	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.26	0.16	0.11	0.01	14	70%	0.30	1	-0.04	9	89%	0.04
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.14	0.09	-0.00	9	86%	0.27	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.08	0.00	6	100%	0.23	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.04	0.00	5	80%	0.14	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Devin Harris	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	7	64%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03	0.04	-0.06	-0.00	17	53%	0.04	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	12	42%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.57,0.68,0.68,0.62	0.62	0.30	0.32	-0.00	16	89%	0.62	0	0.00	4	100%	0.07
Enes Kanter	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.23	-0.03	0.02	13	79%	0.18	0	0.00	12	92%	0.04
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	15	59%	0.12	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch McGary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.06
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.24,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.14	0.10	-0.02	32	41%	0.17	6	-0.20	11	82%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.3	30.1	15.5	24.5	2.6	37.2	138.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +76.7%

OKC -12.9%

OKC -18.6%

DAL +13.6%

OKC -8.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	OKC	NBA	DAL	OKC	NBA
this game	14.1	13.7	15.1	129.8	127.2	104.2
season	14.6	14.5		107.6	105.7
opponent	15.0	15.0		103.5	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.9	14.0	14.2	14.2	14.1
OKC	13.3	14.8	14.6	12.4	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	41	39	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.19	15	-11	26	13.5	14.4	-0.93	15.3	12.8	2.55
Al-Farouq Aminu	50	48	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.11	11	-7	18	13.2	14.9	-1.65	14.8	12.8	1.96
Dirk Nowitzki	69	67	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.34	0	4	-4	15.3	11.7	3.60	13.6	13.9	-0.30
Amar'e Stoudemire	38	41	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.16	4	0	4	14.6	13.8	0.75	15.3	12.7	2.53
Jose Juan Barea	21	21	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	-2	8	15.6	13.7	1.87	15.4	13.3	2.11
Monta Ellis	83	82	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.28	-2	6	-8	13.7	15.6	-1.87	13.3	15.4	-2.11
Tyson Chandler	66	62	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.22	0	4	-4	13.8	14.6	-0.75	12.7	15.3	-2.53
Chandler Parsons	81	81	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	7	-10	14.0	14.3	-0.24	13.5	14.8	-1.30
Charlie Villanueva	6	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	5	-6	12.5	14.2	-1.67	13.5	13.8	-0.27
Rajon Rondo	65	66	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.27	-10	14	-24	14.0	14.2	-0.16	12.5	15.9	-3.39

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitch McGary	33	31	0.19	-0.69	0.89	0.05	5	-9	14	13.4	13.9	-0.52	15.3	13.5	1.77
Steve Novak	9	9	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.00	5	-9	14	12.1	13.9	-1.79	16.0	13.9	2.11
Perry Jones	12	12	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	2	-8	16.7	13.4	3.30	11.9	14.4	-2.44
Anthony Morrow	63	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-3	2	13.6	13.9	-0.29	13.8	14.5	-0.76
D.J. Augustin	41	41	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	0	-4	15.2	12.8	2.40	13.9	14.2	-0.37
Steven Adams	50	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-6	8	14.2	13.4	0.80	14.3	13.8	0.50
Kyle Singler	42	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	0	-4	13.6	13.8	-0.18	14.1	14.1	-0.02
Enes Kanter	83	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.28	-7	3	-10	13.5	14.6	-1.06	14.1	13.8	0.33
Russell Westbrook	95	96	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	-1	-2	13.4	17.6	-4.20	14.1	13.6	0.49
Dion Waiters	87	89	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	3	-10	13.4	15.6	-2.15	13.8	15.7	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.34,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.45,0.71,0.67,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 88, NOH 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.45,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.46,0.31,0.45,0.53,0.26,0	88.9%
MIN 98, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.31,0.29,0.4,0.25,0.45,0.43,0.05,0	88.9%
POR 88, IND 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.65,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.06,0.02,0.13,0.31,0.45,0.24,0.09,0	88.7%