NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	113		Excitement	11.4 [32]		MVP	Jordan Clarkson (LAL): +75.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	111		Comeback	11.4 [77]		LVP	Wesley Johnson (LAL): -25.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0.76	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.76	0.08	0.70	0.02	15	65%	0.89	3	-0.14	10	80%	0.17
Jabari Brown	0.41	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.19	0.21	-0.01	10	88%	0.47	1	-0.06	5	100%	0.05
Ryan Kelly	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.12	0.09	-0.01	9	76%	0.24	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Wayne Ellington	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.02,0.09,0.18,0.18	0.05	0.14	0.01	15	62%	0.32	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Tarik Black	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robert Sacre	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	8	25%	-0.17	3	-0.09	4	25%	-0.09
Wesley Johnson	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25	-0.18	-0.10	-0.02	16	33%	-0.03	5	-0.22	4	50%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.14,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.12	-0.02	9	72%	0.27	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.07
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	7	62%	0.15	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.02
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.08	0.00	20	42%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.07	-0.03	9	44%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	8	40%	0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.03	0.02	4	70%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Furkan Aldemir	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	4	67%	0.02	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.07,0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.03	-0.01	18	41%	0.16	3	-0.21	10	50%	-0.18
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	10%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.08	0.01	13	43%	-0.04	5	-0.16	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	28.5	15.6	24.7	1.8	42.2	2.4	14.4	157.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +80.7%

LAL +25.6%

PHI -44.3%

PHI -6.1%

PHI -5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHI	NBA	LAL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.2	15.8	15.1	110.8	107.8	104.2
season	15.5	14.9		101.9	94.3
opponent	14.8	14.7		103.4	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	14.9	13.2	16.9	15.9	15.3	15.2
PHI	16.4	16.2	15.2	15.4	16.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Kelly	84	84	1.05	-0.55	1.59	0.67	13	-11	24	15.0	16.2	-1.27	15.9	15.5	0.39
Jordan Clarkson	84	85	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.71	10	-8	18	15.5	13.9	1.56	15.6	17.2	-1.67
Jabari Brown	66	67	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.27	9	-7	16	15.2	15.1	0.10	15.4	16.7	-1.39
Wayne Ellington	82	83	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.43	-1	3	-4	14.4	18.5	-4.13	16.5	13.0	3.47
Tarik Black	25	28	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	-4	10	14.7	15.3	-0.60	16.9	15.5	1.39
Wesley Johnson	84	84	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.48	-10	12	-22	15.5	13.7	1.83	15.9	15.6	0.33
Robert Sacre	46	43	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	-0.14	-10	12	-22	14.8	15.5	-0.68	15.3	16.2	-0.97
Jordan Hill	39	41	-0.51	1.01	-1.52	-0.31	-7	9	-16	16.7	14.2	2.54	15.5	16.1	-0.55

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Henry Sims	48	47	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.21	6	-8	14	16.3	15.4	0.92	15.1	15.3	-0.17
Glenn Robinson	48	48	0.38	-0.88	1.25	0.23	5	-7	12	15.3	16.3	-1.04	15.4	14.9	0.49
Thomas Robinson	46	46	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.07	3	-5	8	15.5	16.2	-0.70	16.2	14.3	1.90
Hollis Thompson	35	36	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.17	11	-13	24	14.1	16.7	-2.62	15.6	14.9	0.67
Isaiah Canaan	53	52	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	2	-6	15.1	16.6	-1.55	15.5	14.9	0.58
Furkan Aldemir	39	40	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	2	-6	15.1	16.3	-1.24	15.8	14.7	1.11
Ish Smith	62	61	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.59	0	-2	2	16.6	14.7	1.85	14.8	15.8	-0.97
JaKarr Sampson	52	49	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.41	-9	7	-16	15.7	16.0	-0.31	15.4	15.0	0.45
Nerlens Noel	70	69	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.65	-8	6	-14	16.7	14.1	2.58	14.4	16.8	-2.34
Robert Covington	62	62	-0.94	0.44	-1.39	-0.65	-10	8	-18	16.7	14.5	2.25	14.4	16.4	-2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.58,0.7,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.54,0.53,0.36,0.24,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 109, LAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.52,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.94,1,0.54,0.25,0.16,0.02,0,0	89.3%
HOU 109, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.69,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.29,0.45,0.04,0	88.5%
SAC 108, SAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.63,0.77,0.83,0.54,0.47,0.23,0.02,0.02,0	88.4%