NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	88		Excitement	4.1 [987]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +16.5%
New Orleans Pelicans	110		Comeback	1.0 [1250]		LVP	Adreian Payne (MIN): -6.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Hamilton	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.02	6	92%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0.00	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.10	0.01	-0.10	16	46%	0.09	6	-0.09	5	80%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Robbie Hummel	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Lorenzo Brown	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	57%	0.02	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Bennett	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	15	51%	0.04	5	-0.10	9	89%	0.03
Adreian Payne	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	14	50%	0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.06	-0.02	21	54%	0.16	0	0.00	10	80%	0.02
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.00	9	75%	0.15	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.02	6	75%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	87%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	62%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	56%	-0.00	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	67%	0.06	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	27.4	15.4	26.3	1.8	28.6	126.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +53.2%

MIN -10.3%

MIN -6.6%

NOP +13.1%

NOP +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NOP	NBA	MIN	NOP	NBA
this game	15.6	15.2	15.1	94.6	117.0	104.2
season	15.0	15.8		101.2	106.3
opponent	15.2	15.0		106.1	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.5	15.6	17.1	15.5	15.6
NOP	14.9	18.0	15.6	12.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Bennett	24	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.17	-7	-15	8	15.0	15.9	-0.81	12.9	16.0	-3.09
Gorgui Dieng	19	20	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.09	-10	-12	2	13.5	16.2	-2.73	15.3	15.1	0.18
Adreian Payne	69	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	-13	4	15.7	15.5	0.20	15.8	13.3	2.56
Justin Hamilton	43	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-15	8	16.2	15.2	1.05	16.0	14.5	1.58
Chase Budinger	58	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.16	-15	-7	-8	15.7	15.6	0.12	15.3	14.9	0.48
Robbie Hummel	34	35	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.13	-14	-8	-6	16.4	15.2	1.21	14.2	15.7	-1.57
Andrew Wiggins	74	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.22	-3	-19	16	15.9	14.7	1.21	15.6	13.4	2.17
Zach LaVine	74	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.23	-22	0	-22	15.2	17.2	-1.97	14.9	16.3	-1.45
Lorenzo Brown	70	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.23	-23	1	-24	15.8	15.2	0.63	14.9	15.9	-0.94

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	72	71	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.01	19	3	16	15.7	13.2	2.52	15.9	14.8	1.14
Tyreke Evans	44	45	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.04	17	5	12	15.6	14.8	0.77	15.4	15.9	-0.43
Omer Asik	48	49	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.04	13	9	4	16.0	14.3	1.72	15.6	15.7	-0.11
Eric Gordon	60	58	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	13	-4	15.3	14.9	0.34	15.6	15.7	-0.16
Dante Cunningham	59	57	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	6	10	14.8	15.7	-0.88	15.9	15.3	0.55
Toney Douglas	32	32	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.24	12	10	2	14.9	15.3	-0.38	15.7	15.6	0.06
Alexis Ajinca	46	44	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.18	9	13	-4	14.3	16.0	-1.72	15.7	15.6	0.11
Quincy Pondexter	40	41	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	20	-18	15.5	14.9	0.64	15.5	15.8	-0.28
Norris Cole	52	51	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.11	6	16	-10	14.8	15.6	-0.74	15.9	15.4	0.53
Luke Babbitt	17	17	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.19	7	15	-8	12.9	15.6	-2.71	14.2	16.0	-1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.64,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.78,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 74, DAL 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.8,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
MIN 102, LAL 119	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
PHI 84, TOR 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.1%