NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	84		Excitement	5.1 [793]		MVP	Lou Williams (TOR): +9.7%
Toronto Raptors	100		Comeback	1.0 [1308]		LVP	Luc Mbah a Moute (PHI): -10.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Furkan Aldemir	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.01	9	55%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jerami Grant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.03	4	70%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.04	25	50%	0.04	4	-0.07	8	50%	-0.04
KJ McDaniels	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	10	38%	-0.02	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.02
Henry Sims	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	9	44%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Hollis Thompson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	10	33%	-0.08	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	7	19%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	-0.01	-0.02	12	68%	0.15	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	14	62%	0.15	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	3	60%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Amir Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	83%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	55%	0.04	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	11	27%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	15	56%	0.01	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.0	31.0	15.5	26.4	2.7	34.3	139.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +53.6%

PHI -1.4%

TOR +2.3%

PHI -9.8%

TOR +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	14.2	16.0	15.1	87.5	105.3	104.2
season	14.9	15.6		94.3	109.1
opponent	15.0	14.8		106.8	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.4	14.2	15.2	13.9	14.2
TOR	17.3	17.1	14.8	14.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	43	45	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-13	10	13.2	15.0	-1.78	16.9	15.2	1.69
Furkan Aldemir	32	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	-13	10	13.7	14.4	-0.63	15.3	16.3	-1.04
JaKarr Sampson	28	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-16	16	12.1	15.0	-2.96	15.6	16.2	-0.56
Hollis Thompson	51	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-12	8	13.1	15.3	-2.20	15.3	16.8	-1.52
KJ McDaniels	63	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.12	-14	-2	-12	14.8	12.9	1.87	16.0	16.0	-0.05
Henry Sims	45	46	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-10	4	14.7	13.7	1.07	16.8	15.2	1.56
Luc Mbah a Moute	57	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	0	-16	14.6	13.5	1.06	16.6	15.2	1.40
Nerlens Noel	79	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.09	-19	3	-22	14.6	12.1	2.56	15.5	17.8	-2.30
Michael Carter-Williams	82	81	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.03	-15	-1	-14	14.7	11.3	3.37	15.9	16.4	-0.42

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	69	68	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.07	20	-4	24	16.0	16.0	-0.05	14.5	13.4	1.09
DeMar DeRozan	57	55	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.16	18	-2	20	16.5	15.2	1.27	15.1	12.9	2.16
Patrick Patterson	55	55	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	8	0	16.2	15.7	0.43	13.7	14.9	-1.20
Amir Johnson	63	62	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.04	11	5	6	16.4	15.3	1.08	14.3	13.9	0.35
Tyler Hansbrough	32	33	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.01	9	7	2	15.5	16.2	-0.71	13.8	14.4	-0.58
Terrence Ross	35	35	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.03	8	8	0	17.0	15.4	1.54	15.5	13.4	2.08
James Johnson	29	31	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	14	-12	16.3	15.9	0.45	13.1	14.7	-1.58
Jonas Valanciunas	40	42	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	12	-8	15.5	16.3	-0.78	15.0	13.6	1.40
Lou Williams	48	50	0.12	0.39	-0.27	0.23	-4	20	-24	15.0	17.0	-1.94	12.7	15.7	-2.98
Greivis Vasquez	47	49	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	12	-8	15.5	16.5	-1.05	13.9	14.5	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 88, NOP 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.64,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.78,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
MIN 102, LAL 119	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
CLE 100, WAS 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.78,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%