NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	103		Excitement	8.7 [166]		MVP	John Wall (WAS): +63.4%
Washington Wizards	101		Comeback	18.3 [48]		LVP	Roy Hibbert (IND): -14.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.40	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,0,0.09,0.11,0.4	0.03	0.39	0.02	24	55%	0.52	4	-0.12	5	100%	0.02
CJ Miles	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2	0.10	0.11	0.00	10	67%	0.20	0	0.00	4	75%	0.04
Damjan Rudez	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.09	-0.00	9	61%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David West	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12	-0.00	0.12	-0.00	9	50%	0.16	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Lavoy Allen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	8	59%	0.06	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.00
CJ Watson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	11	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Ian Mahinmi	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Luis Scola	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Roy Hibbert	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	6	0%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.34,0.63	0.63	0.16	0.46	-0.01	21	64%	0.70	2	-0.07	11	91%	0.08
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	10	73%	0.15	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.02	0.02	5	44%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Otto Porter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.05	-0.00	6	62%	0.07	1	-0.10	4	75%	0.03
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	38%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Nene	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.10	-0.01	8	45%	-0.09	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	1.8	31.2	18.5	27.5	2.6	41.2	152.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +46.0%

WAS -21.4%

IND +14.4%

IND +9.4%

IND +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	16.2	13.7	15.1	107.3	104.1	104.2
season	16.0	15.1		102.3	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.0		101.7	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.2	19.3	14.8	15.8	16.2
WAS	15.4	12.9	12.4	14.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	57	60	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.56	13	-11	24	14.6	18.5	-3.83	13.8	13.4	0.43
CJ Miles	63	63	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.56	11	-9	20	14.4	19.5	-5.07	14.1	12.9	1.26
George Hill	84	86	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.51	6	-4	10	16.4	14.7	1.74	13.5	15.1	-1.60
Lavoy Allen	49	48	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.08	8	-6	14	17.0	15.3	1.70	13.2	14.1	-0.83
Solomon Hill	66	66	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	-6	14	15.3	18.1	-2.78	13.5	14.0	-0.53
CJ Watson	37	37	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.25	-4	6	-10	19.0	14.4	4.53	14.1	13.4	0.66
Roy Hibbert	34	35	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	1	0	16.0	16.3	-0.34	13.5	13.7	-0.20
Damjan Rudez	38	40	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.26	-13	15	-28	17.4	15.4	2.00	13.0	14.2	-1.18
Ian Mahinmi	28	27	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.07	-6	8	-14	18.4	15.3	3.11	15.7	12.9	2.77
Luis Scola	24	23	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	-0.02	-14	16	-30	15.9	16.3	-0.36	12.5	14.0	-1.56

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Seraphin	41	41	0.35	-0.85	1.21	0.21	5	-7	12	14.1	13.3	0.82	18.5	14.5	4.02
Ramon Sessions	36	36	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.05	4	-6	10	15.1	12.9	2.20	17.2	15.6	1.66
Bradley Beal	21	22	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-6	10	15.0	13.3	1.76	15.9	16.3	-0.42
Drew Gooden	31	30	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.10	-2	0	-2	14.9	13.1	1.86	16.5	16.1	0.41
Marcin Gortat	64	62	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-4	6	12.9	15.1	-2.15	14.7	18.9	-4.13
Martell Webster	60	59	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.19	-2	0	-2	13.1	14.6	-1.54	15.0	18.0	-2.99
John Wall	82	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.35	-1	-1	0	13.4	15.3	-1.97	16.8	13.1	3.62
Rasual Butler	46	44	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.46	2	-4	6	13.7	13.6	0.09	16.2	16.1	0.12
Paul Pierce	47	47	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	8	-18	13.1	14.2	-1.09	15.8	16.6	-0.74
Otto Porter	1	1	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	2	-6	2.0	13.8	-11.79	1.0	16.3	-15.35
Nene	56	57	-1.05	0.55	-1.60	-0.82	-8	6	-14	13.8	13.5	0.23	16.4	15.9	0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.81,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.64,0.32,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 108, OKC 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.78,0.57,0.15,0	90.5%
ATL 92, BOS 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.35,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.67,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.81,0.46,0.45,0.27,0	90.1%
BOS 107, MIN 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.71,0.57,0.16,0	89.7%