NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	89		Excitement	2.0 [1287]		MVP	Avery Bradley (BOS): +12.4%
Boston Celtics	108		Comeback	1.0 [1228]		LVP	Isaiah Canaan (PHI): -6.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nerlens Noel	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	15	50%	0.04	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Hollis Thompson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	9	65%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jerami Grant	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Ish Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	13	57%	-0.01	4	0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Thomas Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.00	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Henry Sims	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	8	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Isaiah Canaan	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	0.00	0.01	11	46%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.00	0.00	14	71%	0.12	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.15	0.00	0.09	15	76%	0.08	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	60%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	10	52%	0.03	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Gigi Datome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	7	71%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Young	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	6	7%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	-0.07	7	28%	-0.03	3	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.3	29.4	15.5	26.0	1.5	31.2	127.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +37.2%

BOS +1.5%

BOS +3.9%

BOS +5.9%

BOS +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	14.9	14.3	15.1	89.9	110.2	104.2
season	14.9	14.3		94.3	103.1
opponent	15.4	14.8		103.3	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	18.0	13.6	14.5	13.6	14.9
BOS	11.5	17.1	12.6	16.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thomas Robinson	35	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	-14	9	12.8	16.1	-3.28	13.0	15.0	-2.02
Henry Sims	32	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-15	11	13.6	15.6	-1.96	15.7	13.7	1.95
Robert Covington	46	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-12	5	14.0	15.7	-1.68	14.1	14.5	-0.40
Jerami Grant	52	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-11	3	13.9	16.0	-2.10	14.7	13.9	0.74
Ish Smith	54	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	-11	3	15.0	14.8	0.14	13.7	15.1	-1.45
Isaiah Canaan	60	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-11	3	14.1	16.1	-1.99	15.0	13.3	1.72
Hollis Thompson	61	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-12	5	15.8	13.5	2.30	15.0	13.2	1.81
Jason Richardson	41	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.14	-15	-4	-11	16.8	13.6	3.26	14.3	14.4	-0.08
Luc Mbah a Moute	47	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	-1	-17	16.6	13.4	3.19	14.1	14.5	-0.36
Nerlens Noel	67	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	-4	-11	15.6	13.6	1.96	13.7	15.7	-1.95

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Avery Bradley	70	69	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.15	19	0	19	14.4	14.2	0.19	16.1	12.3	3.76
Evan Turner	49	48	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.21	20	-1	21	13.2	15.4	-2.14	17.0	13.0	3.96
Marcus Smart	61	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.29	22	-3	25	13.1	16.2	-3.10	15.7	13.7	2.05
Brandon Bass	56	55	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	5	9	13.3	15.7	-2.40	16.1	13.4	2.68
Tyler Zeller	56	57	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.19	16	3	13	14.9	13.5	1.35	15.4	14.2	1.18
Kelly Olynyk	32	33	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	10	-1	12.6	15.1	-2.51	15.5	14.6	0.89
Jae Crowder	46	46	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	17	-15	14.6	14.0	0.59	12.8	16.8	-3.95
Phil Pressey	41	44	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.33	-7	26	-33	15.3	13.6	1.72	13.0	16.5	-3.50
Jonas Jerebko	26	27	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	17	-15	17.6	13.1	4.44	13.6	15.4	-1.77
Gigi Datome	42	43	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	18	-17	15.2	13.7	1.49	13.3	16.2	-2.86
James Young	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	17.0	14.1	2.86	10.7	15.2	-4.52
Shavlik Randolph	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	15.8	14.2	1.56	10.6	15.1	-4.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 90, DAL 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
IND 98, ORL 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	97.7%
TOR 86, DET 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%