NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	104		Excitement	10.4 [60]		MVP	Aaron Brooks (CHI): +54.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	95		Comeback	7.2 [237]		LVP	Tony Snell (CHI): -62.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Brooks	0.54	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.47,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.54	0.17	0.40	0.03	20	67%	0.57	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.06
Doug McDermott	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	4	87%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.04	-0.03	13	52%	0.13	4	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.21	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.26,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.02	-0.19	0.00	25	52%	-0.00	4	-0.20	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Snell	-0.63	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.63,-0.63,-0.63,-0.63,-0.63,-0.63	-0.17	-0.45	0.00	9	40%	-0.21	7	-0.42	7	71%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.15,0,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.08	0.01	21	52%	0.26	1	-0.14	2	100%	0.08
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.08	-0.00	5	37%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	50%	0.00
Furkan Aldemir	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	13	41%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	8	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	9	36%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	0%	-0.07
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	9	22%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	10	29%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	0.07	-0.33	0.00	15	62%	-0.19	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36	-0.36	-0.12	-0.24	0.00	10	14%	-0.36	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	20.2	1.8	27.7	15.7	26.3	2.6	37.4	1.5	15.2	148.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +118.9%

PHI -12.9%

PHI -20.1%

PHI -39.0%

CHI +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHI	NBA	CHI	PHI	NBA
this game	14.9	14.7	15.1	95.4	89.6	104.2
season	15.5	14.9		105.4	94.3
opponent	14.8	15.2		103.4	102.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	14.6	15.8	13.4	14.7	17.9	14.9
PHI	14.2	17.7	13.2	14.8	13.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Mirotic	86	83	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.27	19	-10	29	14.7	15.7	-1.03	15.6	11.3	4.33
Tony Snell	93	91	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.13	18	-9	27	14.6	16.4	-1.75	14.8	14.2	0.58
Mike Dunleavy	82	81	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.13	16	-7	23	15.1	14.1	1.02	14.1	16.6	-2.49
Pau Gasol	91	89	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.22	9	0	9	14.7	15.7	-1.01	14.1	17.8	-3.72
Aaron Brooks	74	73	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.06	17	-8	25	14.9	14.9	-0.01	15.0	14.1	0.88
E'Twaun Moore	25	24	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.14	-6	15	-21	14.5	15.0	-0.47	15.8	14.4	1.41
Nazr Mohammed	32	30	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.10	-5	14	-19	15.5	14.6	0.83	15.6	14.3	1.30
Doug McDermott	21	21	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	14	-19	14.9	14.9	0.03	14.0	14.9	-0.81
Kirk Hinrich	41	38	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.18	-18	27	-45	15.5	14.5	1.05	13.5	15.4	-1.87

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Furkan Aldemir	15	17	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.06	5	-14	19	16.8	14.4	2.45	15.4	14.8	0.63
Thomas Robinson	36	36	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.19	7	-16	23	14.9	14.6	0.37	14.7	15.0	-0.28
Jerami Grant	43	43	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-9	9	13.7	15.4	-1.64	14.0	15.5	-1.45
Robert Covington	42	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-10	11	14.6	14.7	-0.13	14.9	14.9	0.00
Ish Smith	71	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-6	3	14.8	14.5	0.36	15.4	13.8	1.62
JaKarr Sampson	33	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	3	-15	15.0	14.6	0.39	14.4	15.1	-0.64
Jason Richardson	37	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	3	-15	16.2	13.9	2.37	14.6	15.0	-0.35
Hollis Thompson	51	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-6	3	13.8	15.5	-1.72	14.8	14.9	-0.14
Isaiah Canaan	61	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-7	5	14.3	15.2	-0.91	15.0	14.7	0.32
Luc Mbah a Moute	68	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	1	-11	14.9	14.3	0.55	14.9	14.8	0.05
Nerlens Noel	73	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	7	-23	14.5	15.1	-0.61	15.1	14.4	0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.3,0.53,0.47,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.5,0.39,0.21,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 106, CHA 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.32,0.16,0.46,0.25,0.04,0,0,0	89.6%
SAC 108, UTA 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.15,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.29,0.15,0.08,0.5,0.39,0.15,0.11,0.04,0	89.1%
POR 98, MIN 92	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.09,0.54,0.38,0.37,0.09,0.05,0	88.8%