NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	104		Excitement	7.2 [373]		MVP	Terrence Ross (TOR): +20.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder	108		Comeback	2.2 [714]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): -12.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.18	0.03	0.01	12	83%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	7	64%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	10	55%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.01	0.03	7	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	15	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
James Johnson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	10	20%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	11	42%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
DeMar DeRozan	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.13	0.01	-0.10	0.03	22	52%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.07	0.04	16	62%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.04	0.02	14	64%	0.09	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	5	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	7	53%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.10	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	21	55%	0.19	9	-0.24	13	85%	0.05
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	8	39%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.8	33.6	15.4	24.4	2.4	34.2	133.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +45.5%

OKC +13.8%

OKC +19.9%

TOR -25.8%

TOR -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	OKC	NBA	TOR	OKC	NBA
this game	16.2	14.3	15.1	109.5	114.9	104.2
season	15.6	14.5		109.1	105.7
opponent	15.0	15.0		103.5	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.1	15.4	15.6	16.6	16.2
OKC	14.9	14.0	13.2	15.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	36	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	4	-12	17.7	15.2	2.43	13.7	14.7	-1.00
James Johnson	30	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-1	-2	16.4	16.0	0.35	14.6	14.2	0.40
Terrence Ross	50	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-6	8	16.5	15.8	0.72	13.7	15.1	-1.40
Kyle Lowry	79	80	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-5	6	15.9	17.6	-1.76	14.8	11.2	3.64
Jonas Valanciunas	57	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-2	0	16.3	15.9	0.35	14.9	13.3	1.63
Greivis Vasquez	42	40	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-6	8	16.1	16.2	-0.11	13.6	14.8	-1.23
Lou Williams	45	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	2	-8	15.8	16.5	-0.72	15.1	13.7	1.40
Patrick Patterson	64	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.48	3	-7	10	15.6	17.3	-1.73	14.1	14.8	-0.69
DeMar DeRozan	72	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.29	-9	5	-14	16.1	16.5	-0.42	14.0	15.2	-1.26

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Serge Ibaka	79	81	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-5	14	14.1	15.2	-1.06	16.3	15.6	0.69
Russell Westbrook	78	79	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.31	5	-1	6	14.1	15.2	-1.06	16.0	16.7	-0.71
D.J. Augustin	48	49	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.46	-4	8	-12	14.9	13.7	1.16	16.0	16.4	-0.41
Dion Waiters	65	67	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.43	-3	7	-10	14.3	14.4	-0.10	15.7	17.2	-1.50
Enes Kanter	55	55	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.18	4	0	4	14.5	14.1	0.44	16.5	15.6	0.92
Steven Adams	32	31	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	3	-2	14.2	14.4	-0.14	16.1	16.2	-0.14
Kyle Singler	29	28	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.05	7	-3	10	14.4	14.3	0.10	17.2	15.7	1.50
Anthony Morrow	24	23	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	1	2	14.6	14.2	0.42	16.4	16.1	0.31
Andre Roberson	43	45	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	3	-2	13.6	14.9	-1.38	16.2	16.2	-0.00
Nick Collison	17	17	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	7	-10	15.4	14.1	1.28	15.4	16.3	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.77,0.89,0.97,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 112, SAS 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.91,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	93.2%
CHA 91, ORL 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.9,0.91,1	93.1%
PHX 93, MIN 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.68,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.6%