inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 109 Excitement9.1 [127] MVPTyler Johnson (MIA): +31.7%
Miami Heat 114 Comeback19.6 [103] LVPRay McCallum (SAC): -12.1%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0.13,0.06,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.030.001764%0.315-0.24887%0.05
Derrick Williams0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.00762%0.082-0.052100%0.01
Andre Miller0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.02,0.02-0.040.06-0.00839%0.061-0.04250%-0.00
Jason Thompson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.01-0.01267%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Reggie Evans0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00150%0.0100.002100%0.01
Ben McLemore0.000,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,00.04-0.03-0.001656%0.072-0.06475%0.01
Nik Stauskas-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Omri Casspi-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00350%0.012-0.0700%0.00
Rudy Gay-0.080,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.080.05-0.15-0.012454%-0.033-0.0620%-0.04
Ray McCallum-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.05-0.060.011041%-0.042-0.082100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyler Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.320.320.080.260.021271%0.424-0.101070%-0.03
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,0.07,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.190.190.090.160.061865%0.284-0.097100%0.02
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.090.09-0.00675%0.1800.00475%-0.01
Chris Andersen0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.18,0.180.180.070.110.01569%0.1800.00683%0.03
Henry Walker0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.22,0.22,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.040.00861%0.091-0.022100%0.03
James Ennis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.00-0.00462%0.0300.0000%0.00
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.001750%0.051-0.0320%-0.03
Udonis Haslem0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Shabazz Napier0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.01-0.01731%-0.043-0.06250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.61.834.215.825.52.642.61.821.1170.0
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.62.017.8136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +51.7%
MIA +11.1%
SAC -47.4%
MIA +37.8%
SAC -3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACMIANBASACMIANBA
this game15.314.415.1102.8105.6104.2
season14.916.0103.7102.4
opponent15.314.8105.4107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SAC15.613.215.417.714.315.3
MIA12.215.614.015.715.714.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Reggie Evans15150.12-0.620.730.033-81115.115.4-0.2212.614.7-2.10
Omri Casspi36380.03-0.530.560.09-2-3115.815.10.7313.514.9-1.44
Nik Stauskas770.00-0.500.510.000-5516.015.30.7310.014.7-4.71
Derrick Williams3939-0.22-0.280.060.01-83-1115.615.20.3812.715.4-2.64
Jason Thompson4851-0.22-0.280.05-0.282-7915.015.6-0.5913.415.3-1.92
DeMarcus Cousins6668-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.08-61-715.514.90.6015.712.23.47
Ray McCallum7981-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.341-6714.717.0-2.3014.813.21.58
Ben McLemore8990-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.474-91314.619.4-4.8015.011.23.82
Rudy Gay9292-0.600.10-0.70-0.34-94-1315.712.82.9214.812.22.53
Andre Miller5959-0.680.18-0.86-0.39-105-1516.214.21.9514.414.4-0.00

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Henry Walker69680.78-0.281.070.3714-92315.013.41.5616.912.54.36
Michael Beasley76770.53-0.030.570.2410-51514.015.3-1.2415.415.10.35
Tyler Johnson92910.52-0.020.540.356-1713.917.4-3.5615.017.3-2.34
Dwyane Wade70690.51-0.010.520.4523-115.312.82.5415.115.8-0.75
Mario Chalmers58600.270.230.030.009-41313.215.8-2.5915.914.51.41
James Ennis34330.010.49-0.48-0.0832112.615.3-2.7015.915.10.85
Chris Andersen6260-0.150.65-0.79-0.00-510-1513.915.0-1.1114.316.7-2.35
Udonis Haslem2018-0.210.71-0.920.11-1116-2718.313.54.7814.615.5-0.92
Shabazz Napier4944-0.270.77-1.03-0.03-813-2115.313.61.7214.515.9-1.40


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.18,0.24,0.15,0.17,0.29,0.4,0.14,0.36,0.86,0.84,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.73,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 109, ORL 1120.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.39,0.55,0.45,0.73,0.46,0.53,0.71,0.57,0.85,189.7%
UTA 111, NYK 1180.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.4,0.53,0.39,0.54,0.55,0.92,0.5,0.39,0.63,0.85,0.98,188.9%
MIL 115, CHI 1170.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.16,0.25,0.36,0.45,0.72,0.46,0.31,0.63,0.84,0.84,188.7%