NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	77		Excitement	4.1 [989]		MVP	Kevin Martin (MIN): +18.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	97		Comeback	3.3 [455]		LVP	Nene (WAS): -15.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Seraphin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	8	50%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	9	47%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	11	59%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	43%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	11	46%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
John Wall	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.15	-0.01	-0.07	10	25%	-0.03	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	8	12%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.04	0.04	12	48%	-0.02	5	-0.14	1	0%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.18	0.03	0.03	15	76%	0.22	3	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	13	54%	0.06	2	-0.03	9	78%	0.02
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzo Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	14	47%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	7	43%	-0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	9	30%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Adreian Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	5	40%	0.02	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.3	26.9	14.8	26.3	1.7	26.2	123.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +6.3%

MIN +18.9%

MIN +14.9%

MIN +8.9%

MIN +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIN	NBA	WAS	MIN	NBA
this game	14.6	14.6	15.1	78.6	98.0	104.2
season	15.1	15.0		102.9	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.3		110.5	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.4	15.8	14.2	15.2	14.6
MIN	14.8	13.0	14.0	16.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeJuan Blair	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-20	20	8.0	14.8	-6.84	15.7	14.6	1.19
Marcin Gortat	57	58	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-19	18	14.4	15.0	-0.55	15.3	13.7	1.62
Nene	52	52	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-23	26	14.5	14.7	-0.20	15.2	14.0	1.19
Ramon Sessions	40	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-16	12	14.6	14.7	-0.10	15.2	14.2	1.09
Kris Humphries	25	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.17	-11	-9	-2	15.1	14.5	0.65	14.2	14.7	-0.49
Otto Porter	63	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-15	10	13.6	16.5	-2.93	14.9	14.1	0.75
Martell Webster	29	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	-7	-6	16.3	13.9	2.33	13.7	15.0	-1.35
Rasual Butler	38	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.21	-15	-5	-10	15.0	14.4	0.56	14.9	14.5	0.41
Drew Gooden	22	21	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.06	-11	-9	-2	15.6	14.4	1.24	14.4	14.7	-0.29
Garrett Temple	54	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-13	6	14.5	14.8	-0.38	13.9	15.4	-1.49
Kevin Seraphin	37	37	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.23	-20	0	-20	14.8	14.6	0.20	13.4	15.3	-1.92
John Wall	70	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.02	-16	-4	-12	14.9	14.0	0.84	14.6	14.7	-0.13

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gorgui Dieng	52	50	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.01	15	5	10	14.8	14.4	0.42	14.2	15.1	-0.88
Nikola Pekovic	71	72	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.05	16	4	12	14.6	14.5	0.15	15.0	13.7	1.23
Andrew Wiggins	74	73	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	4	12	14.5	15.0	-0.58	14.8	14.1	0.74
Gary Neal	57	56	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	6	8	14.8	14.3	0.47	14.5	14.8	-0.31
Ricky Rubio	63	62	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.07	14	6	8	14.4	15.0	-0.62	14.9	14.2	0.69
Kevin Martin	63	64	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.04	10	10	0	14.5	14.7	-0.23	14.8	14.2	0.61
Zach LaVine	36	36	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	14	-8	15.0	14.4	0.62	14.2	14.9	-0.69
Kevin Garnett	38	39	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.05	6	14	-8	14.1	14.9	-0.77	15.6	14.0	1.67
Adreian Payne	37	35	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	17	-14	14.7	14.5	0.20	13.5	15.3	-1.83
Lorenzo Brown	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	15.7	14.6	1.19	8.0	14.8	-6.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 95, GSW 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.31,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.31,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.7,0.77,0.86,0.81,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
NOH 87, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
DAL 74, CLE 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%