NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	95		Excitement	4.0 [987]		MVP	Steve Blake (POR): +22.4%
Golden State Warriors	111		Comeback	3.2 [947]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -14.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.15	0.03	-0.03	12	85%	0.24	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Martell Webster	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	14	47%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.04	10	37%	0.01	1	0.00	4	75%	0.01
James Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	9	53%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	13	66%	0.07	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Channing Frye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	19	41%	-0.07	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.00	9	58%	0.13	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.02	4	80%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	5	120%	0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	20	55%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	10	69%	0.12	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kosta Perovic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	9	50%	0.01	3	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	4	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	12	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.7	27.4	18.8	32.2	3.5	29.6	138.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +33.5%

GSW +4.3%

POR -3.2%

GSW +15.6%

POR -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	17.9	13.8	15.4	104.4	122.0	105.7
season	16.7	13.5		105.5	109.8
opponent	15.1	15.4		107.9	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.3	19.6	18.7	17.0	17.9
GSW	13.2	13.7	13.2	15.1	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Von Wafer	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-17	18	20.5	17.7	2.83	13.7	13.8	-0.08
Sergio Rodriguez	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-20	24	16.3	18.0	-1.75	15.6	13.5	2.10
Channing Frye	24	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-12	8	16.9	18.2	-1.33	14.3	13.6	0.67
James Jones	43	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	-8	0	18.2	17.6	0.58	14.7	13.0	1.67
LaMarcus Aldridge	61	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-8	0	17.5	18.5	-1.01	13.3	14.7	-1.41
Joel Przybilla	49	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-5	-6	18.6	17.0	1.55	13.2	14.4	-1.23
Steve Blake	63	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.07	-14	-2	-12	17.4	19.0	-1.60	13.1	15.2	-2.05
Travis Outlaw	49	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-2	-12	17.3	18.5	-1.15	14.4	13.1	1.25
Jarrett Jack	78	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.05	-13	-3	-10	17.9	17.6	0.28	14.0	12.7	1.35
Martell Webster	72	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.05	-13	-3	-10	18.5	15.3	3.28	13.6	14.8	-1.27

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelenna Azubuike	59	61	0.66	-0.16	0.83	-0.07	25	-9	34	14.1	13.3	0.79	18.2	17.1	1.08
Matt Barnes	35	35	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.04	19	-3	22	14.9	13.1	1.73	18.0	17.7	0.28
Stephen Jackson	80	81	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.09	20	-4	24	13.5	15.6	-2.10	18.0	16.3	1.75
Monta Ellis	74	74	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	-1	18	13.7	14.3	-0.62	18.4	15.4	3.01
Baron Davis	54	53	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.03	12	4	8	13.0	14.9	-1.95	18.0	17.6	0.43
Andris Biedrins	40	41	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.00	2	14	-12	14.1	13.5	0.60	17.9	17.8	0.13
Austin Croshere	26	26	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	18	-20	14.5	13.5	1.05	16.5	18.4	-1.85
CJ Watson	17	17	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	17	-18	14.3	13.7	0.62	15.4	18.4	-3.01
Marco Belinelli	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	13.0	13.9	-0.87	17.7	17.9	-0.12
Kosta Perovic	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	8.0	14.1	-6.06	16.3	17.9	-1.58
Al Harrington	34	34	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	17	-18	13.3	14.1	-0.75	18.4	17.5	0.89
Brandan Wright	24	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.13	-6	22	-28	14.7	13.5	1.25	16.3	18.4	-2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.31,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.31,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.7,0.77,0.86,0.81,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 77, MIN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
VAN 90, PHI 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.6,0.73,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
CHI 80, PHX 97	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.82,0.93,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%