NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	92		Excitement	6.4 [525]		MVP	Brian Roberts (CHA): +18.4%
Washington Wizards	88		Comeback	1.1 [277]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -13.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Roberts	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.18	0.10	0.09	0.00	10	72%	0.20	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.04
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.05	-0.03	-0.05	6	59%	0.07	0	0.00	10	50%	-0.06
Al Jefferson	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	19	47%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	13	57%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Gary Neal	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	11	55%	0.10	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	8	50%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	-0.00	8	59%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	7	79%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.06	0.00	16	53%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	7	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	10	40%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	6	33%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	14	46%	-0.02	4	-0.11	7	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	1.7	28.4	15.4	25.5	1.6	36.3	130.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +51.4%

WAS -6.7%

CHA +10.7%

WAS -8.5%

CHA +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	WAS	NBA	CHA	WAS	NBA
this game	15.7	14.9	15.1	95.8	95.7	104.2
season	15.6	15.1		98.9	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.1		101.7	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.6	16.4	15.8	15.9	15.7
WAS	16.7	15.5	13.4	14.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Roberts	69	67	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.31	13	-9	22	15.2	16.9	-1.64	14.6	15.9	-1.33
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	71	70	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.48	7	-3	10	16.4	13.8	2.58	15.0	14.5	0.54
Cody Zeller	62	60	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.31	12	-8	20	15.9	15.4	0.41	14.4	15.9	-1.47
Al Jefferson	59	60	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-10	24	16.4	14.6	1.81	14.9	14.8	0.11
Gerald Henderson	70	66	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	-2	8	15.2	17.0	-1.72	14.3	16.5	-2.16
Gary Neal	32	30	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	6	-8	15.7	15.7	0.06	15.9	14.4	1.46
Marvin Williams	38	35	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.13	-7	11	-18	13.9	16.9	-3.00	14.9	14.9	-0.09
Jason Maxiell	33	29	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.12	-11	15	-26	16.3	15.4	0.86	16.0	14.4	1.54
Lance Stephenson	46	43	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.03	-12	16	-28	16.0	15.4	0.64	15.5	14.4	1.12

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Seraphin	33	36	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.13	9	-13	22	16.0	14.3	1.74	16.5	15.2	1.27
Otto Porter	26	29	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-7	10	15.6	14.6	0.98	15.7	15.7	0.02
Garrett Temple	46	48	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.14	5	-9	14	16.2	13.6	2.65	17.1	14.3	2.75
Kris Humphries	44	46	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.20	6	-10	16	16.5	13.4	3.13	17.0	14.5	2.56
Rasual Butler	14	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-7	10	13.6	15.2	-1.58	14.3	16.0	-1.71
Marcin Gortat	48	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.08	-11	7	-18	14.2	15.6	-1.39	15.6	15.8	-0.12
Paul Pierce	49	52	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	6	-16	13.8	16.1	-2.30	14.6	17.1	-2.51
Bradley Beal	75	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.31	-7	3	-10	14.9	15.1	-0.25	16.1	14.3	1.78
John Wall	69	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.33	-7	3	-10	14.4	16.5	-2.14	14.7	18.7	-4.06
Nene	56	58	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.29	-11	7	-18	14.1	16.1	-2.01	15.2	16.4	-1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 95, PHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.46,0.35,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0	93.9%
HOU 112, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.15,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0	93.9%
ORL 85, IND 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.32,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.41,0.35,0.28,0.1,0.15,0.03,0,0	93.5%