NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	85		Excitement	7.5 [271]		MVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): +18.8%
Indiana Pacers	81		Comeback	1.1 [373]		LVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): -27.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0.19	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.19	0.13	0.06	0.01	16	64%	0.25	2	-0.06	10	70%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12	0.05	0.08	0.01	6	71%	0.18	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
JJ Redick	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	64%	0.13	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	16	53%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	30%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.28	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28	-0.24	-0.09	-0.06	11	31%	-0.08	8	-0.19	7	71%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	13	53%	0.06	1	-0.06	6	83%	-0.01
Lance Stephenson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	7	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.02	12	48%	0.07	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	16	46%	-0.03	2	-0.06	9	100%	0.07
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	11	45%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.10	0.03	12	37%	-0.17	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	27.6	16.4	28.6	2.4	48.4	147.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +65.1%

ORL +11.8%

IND -6.4%

IND -13.0%

IND -7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	IND	NBA	ORL	IND	NBA
this game	15.8	14.4	15.6	90.4	83.5	102.8
season	16.2	15.7		102.8	104.2
opponent	15.6	15.8		101.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.0	16.7	16.1	14.7	15.8
IND	16.0	12.8	16.6	12.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	63	64	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.37	11	-7	18	14.8	17.9	-3.14	14.4	14.3	0.12
Chris Duhon	53	54	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.29	9	-5	14	14.9	17.0	-2.12	13.7	15.2	-1.46
Dwight Howard	80	83	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.35	5	-1	6	15.6	17.2	-1.63	14.5	13.4	1.16
Ryan Anderson	79	83	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.17	10	-6	16	15.3	18.8	-3.53	14.2	15.3	-1.09
Hedo Turkoglu	67	69	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.35	3	1	2	15.7	16.2	-0.55	13.5	16.4	-2.82
Quentin Richardson	23	24	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.03	-1	5	-6	16.7	15.5	1.20	16.4	13.7	2.75
Earl Clark	30	29	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.30	-10	14	-24	17.5	15.0	2.45	14.0	14.5	-0.55
Von Wafer	12	13	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	7	-10	16.7	15.7	1.05	14.4	14.3	0.04
Ish Smith	11	12	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.03	-6	10	-16	17.7	15.6	2.15	13.7	14.4	-0.78
JJ Redick	32	34	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.01	-10	14	-24	17.4	15.0	2.34	14.0	14.6	-0.58

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	37	33	0.39	-0.89	1.27	-0.11	17	-21	38	14.2	14.4	-0.26	18.1	14.6	3.44
Tyler Hansbrough	41	37	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.03	10	-14	24	14.0	14.6	-0.69	17.4	14.8	2.55
Dahntay Jones	24	23	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.04	3	-7	10	11.7	15.2	-3.46	16.9	15.5	1.43
A.J. Price	17	19	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.17	10	-14	24	13.5	14.5	-1.00	15.8	15.8	-0.05
Lance Stephenson	20	19	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-8	12	16.1	13.9	2.27	16.6	15.6	1.00
Paul George	74	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.34	-8	4	-12	14.1	15.1	-0.97	15.8	15.8	0.07
Darren Collison	80	77	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.28	-11	7	-18	14.5	13.5	1.00	15.5	17.5	-2.07
Danny Granger	76	74	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.40	-7	3	-10	14.9	12.3	2.64	15.3	17.9	-2.63
David West	61	60	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.33	-16	12	-28	14.1	14.8	-0.72	15.0	17.3	-2.34
Roy Hibbert	55	56	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.23	-22	18	-40	15.1	13.4	1.63	14.9	17.2	-2.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.32,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.41,0.35,0.28,0.1,0.15,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 92, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.01,0	93.5%
POR 97, BOS 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	93.2%
CHA 103, TOR 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.37,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.29,0.18,0.14,0.04,0.02,0,0	93.1%