NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	94		Excitement	7.9 [272]		MVP	Matt Barnes (LAC): +14.7%
Utah Jazz	89		Comeback	2.7 [646]		LVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): -19.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.03	0.12	-0.00	12	54%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	8	75%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.03	0.01	14	60%	0.16	1	-0.05	7	100%	0.04
Chris Paul	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	16	57%	0.14	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.03
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	53%	0.03	1	-0.04	5	20%	-0.08
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.16,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.06	-0.01	17	42%	0.07	3	-0.09	6	50%	-0.04
Spencer Hawes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	16	54%	0.11	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	13	60%	0.18	2	-0.11	4	50%	-0.01
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	6	67%	0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Elijah Millsap	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.08	-0.01	7	62%	0.09	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	6	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.09,-0.15,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	15	35%	-0.14	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.13	-0.00	13	37%	-0.16	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.7	34.2	16.5	24.3	2.0	33.7	135.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +42.5%

LAC +9.8%

UTA -17.1%

LAC +19.5%

UTA -4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	UTA	NBA	LAC	UTA	NBA
this game	16.9	18.0	15.1	114.6	107.2	104.2
season	14.6	16.2		110.5	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.3		103.7	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.8	18.3	17.6	15.0	16.9
UTA	17.5	20.5	14.4	20.2	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	67	68	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.38	5	0	5	16.7	17.7	-0.94	18.3	16.7	1.55
Matt Barnes	73	71	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.31	5	0	5	16.4	21.1	-4.73	18.1	17.5	0.58
Blake Griffin	67	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	2	1	16.6	18.5	-1.91	17.5	20.1	-2.63
Chris Paul	62	61	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.31	2	3	-1	16.9	17.0	-0.13	17.5	19.3	-1.79
DeAndre Jordan	63	61	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.23	3	2	1	16.5	18.4	-1.91	17.1	20.5	-3.40
Glen Davis	13	14	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	0	5	18.2	16.7	1.49	23.1	17.0	6.19
Austin Rivers	37	39	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	0	5	17.6	16.3	1.31	18.1	17.9	0.24
Spencer Hawes	21	24	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.06	-1	6	-7	18.6	16.3	2.24	18.7	17.7	1.00
Dahntay Jones	1	2	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	6	-7	19.0	16.9	2.12	13.0	18.1	-5.12
Hedo Turkoglu	6	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	6	-7	20.7	16.6	4.06	19.1	17.9	1.24

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	16	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-3	1	21.0	17.3	3.72	18.7	16.5	2.30
Trevor Booker	32	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	0	-5	19.1	17.3	1.73	16.3	17.2	-0.95
Dante Exum	43	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	3	-11	19.7	16.2	3.43	17.0	16.8	0.11
Gordon Hayward	67	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-8	11	16.7	23.6	-6.89	16.8	17.3	-0.53
Elijah Millsap	25	23	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	5	-15	20.3	17.0	3.32	17.3	16.7	0.56
Joe Ingles	61	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-7	9	17.1	20.5	-3.40	16.7	17.5	-0.77
Enes Kanter	64	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-5	5	16.9	21.6	-4.71	17.1	16.3	0.73
Trey Burke	53	51	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-3	1	18.3	17.5	0.78	17.0	16.7	0.36
Derrick Favors	54	56	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	-2	-1	17.8	18.4	-0.69	16.5	17.8	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.37,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.39,0.15,0.16,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 77, CLE 72	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.28,0.31,0.1,0.09,0.1,0	92.9%
MIA 99, ATL 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.56,0.67,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.34,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.04,0	92.7%
SAC 103, DET 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.02,0	92.5%