NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	98		Excitement	6.4 [519]		MVP	Ed Davis (LAL): +19.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	92		Comeback	9.1 [327]		LVP	Jeremy Lin (LAL): -15.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	7	73%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
John Wall	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.08	0.01	12	58%	0.18	4	-0.12	12	42%	-0.07
Otto Porter	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.01	9	63%	0.10	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Martell Webster	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nene	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.07	-0.01	7	35%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Kevin Seraphin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Garrett Temple	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	18	53%	0.03	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.07	0.00	7	87%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.15	-0.05	0.05	20	68%	0.09	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Sacre	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.08	-0.01	18	49%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	13	31%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	7	30%	-0.02	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.03
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	5	50%	-0.02	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.7	24.0	15.5	25.4	1.7	27.2	120.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +40.2%

WAS +3.4%

WAS +23.3%

LAL -15.9%

LAL -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAL	NBA	WAS	LAL	NBA
this game	13.4	16.1	15.1	100.0	94.8	104.2
season	15.1	15.5		102.9	101.9
opponent	14.7	15.3		108.9	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	11.7	12.4	13.0	17.1	13.4
LAL	16.0	17.1	17.0	14.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	77	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.25	8	-2	10	13.6	12.8	0.87	16.5	14.8	1.71
Kris Humphries	52	51	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.45	1	5	-4	14.9	11.8	3.02	14.8	17.6	-2.82
John Wall	73	73	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	-3	12	12.9	15.1	-2.19	16.8	14.0	2.85
Otto Porter	58	59	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.17	6	0	6	13.3	13.6	-0.30	17.0	14.8	2.20
Nene	53	52	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.06	9	-3	12	12.5	14.5	-1.96	17.3	14.8	2.51
Rasual Butler	41	42	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.15	2	4	-2	13.9	13.1	0.78	15.2	16.8	-1.65
Marcin Gortat	61	60	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.08	8	-2	10	12.1	15.7	-3.58	16.7	15.1	1.61
Andre Miller	25	24	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	9	-12	15.1	12.9	2.19	14.0	16.8	-2.85
Garrett Temple	4	3	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	4	-2	8.7	13.6	-4.90	16.3	16.1	0.24
Kevin Seraphin	30	31	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.21	-6	12	-18	15.3	12.6	2.72	15.2	16.5	-1.38
Martell Webster	16	14	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	12	-18	13.0	13.5	-0.54	13.2	16.6	-3.38

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Kelly	41	41	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.01	3	-9	12	17.2	15.3	1.89	12.3	14.3	-2.03
Wayne Ellington	73	73	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.32	3	-9	12	15.9	16.7	-0.75	14.5	10.4	4.09
Jordan Hill	58	59	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-4	2	16.3	15.8	0.43	13.6	13.2	0.41
Robert Sacre	58	59	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-4	2	16.3	15.8	0.43	13.6	13.2	0.41
Carlos Boozer	39	39	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	-2	-2	15.8	16.3	-0.43	13.2	13.6	-0.41
Ed Davis	39	39	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	-2	-2	15.8	16.3	-0.43	13.2	13.6	-0.41
Jeremy Lin	46	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-4	2	15.4	16.7	-1.31	13.3	13.6	-0.23
Jordan Clarkson	75	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.10	-13	7	-20	16.7	14.0	2.66	12.5	16.5	-4.02
Wesley Johnson	56	57	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.34	-9	3	-12	15.3	17.2	-1.89	14.3	12.3	2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.82,0.74,0.76,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 109, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.85,0.83,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.16,0	92.2%
GSW 119, POR 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.82,0.66,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.57,0.53,0.41,0.24,0.18,0.07,0.16,0.04,0.04,0	91.9%
POR 100, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.74,0.61,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.08,0	91.6%