NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	91		Excitement	8.6 [173]		MVP	Greivis Vasquez (TOR): +17.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	86		Comeback	11.5 [286]		LVP	Robert Covington (PHI): -18.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greivis Vasquez	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.18	-0.00	0.17	-0.01	11	55%	0.23	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,0.03,0.14,0.31,0.39,0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.00	14	58%	0.26	1	-0.14	8	100%	0.08
Patrick Patterson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	10	67%	0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	65%	0.14	1	-0.07	7	71%	0.03
James Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	0.04	-0.02	14	29%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Lou Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	11	39%	-0.04	1	-0.05	6	83%	-0.01
Amir Johnson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.04	-0.04	5	20%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.07	-0.03	8	59%	0.15	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.13,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.08	-0.02	8	60%	0.36	4	-0.29	4	75%	-0.02
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	12	46%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
KJ McDaniels	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.04	-0.00	13	54%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Henry Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	11	44%	-0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	4	33%	-0.10	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Robert Covington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.02	-0.15	0.01	15	53%	-0.06	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.3	24.6	15.8	25.1	2.4	39.8	131.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +30.9%

TOR +5.7%

TOR +13.6%

PHI -0.9%

TOR +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	15.9	14.9	15.1	97.8	91.5	104.2
season	15.6	14.9		109.1	94.3
opponent	14.8	15.0		103.4	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.2	17.5	17.0	14.5	15.9
PHI	12.0	18.5	14.3	15.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Patterson	60	59	1.02	-0.52	1.54	0.26	26	-21	47	15.0	17.7	-2.68	15.2	14.3	0.93
Kyle Lowry	71	70	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.59	0	5	-5	16.3	14.6	1.70	13.8	18.1	-4.37
DeMar DeRozan	58	57	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.65	-4	9	-13	16.4	15.1	1.36	13.7	16.6	-2.93
Greivis Vasquez	63	63	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	1	3	16.2	15.3	0.89	16.0	12.6	3.32
Jonas Valanciunas	48	50	0.47	0.04	0.43	0.44	1	4	-3	17.0	14.8	2.11	14.7	15.1	-0.37
Lou Williams	48	52	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.30	12	-7	19	14.9	17.0	-2.15	15.2	14.5	0.76
Tyler Hansbrough	30	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.17	5	0	5	14.2	16.7	-2.51	14.6	15.0	-0.34
James Johnson	16	17	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	6	-7	17.1	15.7	1.44	16.3	14.6	1.74
Terrence Ross	39	40	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.24	3	2	1	15.3	16.4	-1.17	16.3	13.8	2.49
Amir Johnson	32	31	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.23	-21	26	-47	17.2	15.3	1.91	13.9	15.3	-1.40

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
KJ McDaniels	56	56	0.29	-0.79	1.07	-0.21	17	-22	39	14.6	15.2	-0.57	17.9	13.0	4.92
Nerlens Noel	62	62	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.36	13	-18	31	15.0	14.6	0.42	17.4	13.0	4.35
Michael Carter-Williams	68	69	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.45	8	-13	21	14.2	16.6	-2.41	16.8	13.5	3.34
Robert Covington	69	69	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.55	11	-16	27	13.8	17.8	-3.93	16.3	14.7	1.60
JaKarr Sampson	8	8	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.16	-14	9	-23	18.6	14.5	4.10	9.7	16.5	-6.77
Luc Mbah a Moute	65	67	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.49	8	-13	21	14.4	15.9	-1.43	17.0	13.2	3.75
Hollis Thompson	28	27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	6	-17	15.0	14.8	0.18	13.0	17.1	-4.14
Larry Drew	29	26	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.09	-16	11	-27	16.1	14.3	1.83	13.9	16.7	-2.79
Henry Sims	40	38	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.02	-19	14	-33	15.2	14.6	0.66	13.4	17.7	-4.30
Jerami Grant	45	43	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.03	-22	17	-39	16.3	13.6	2.76	14.1	17.5	-3.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.3,0.34,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.33,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 87, SAS 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.46,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.66,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.59,0.42,0	91.7%
SEA 87, DEN 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.66,0.62,0.36,0.23,0.08,0	89.5%
CLE 97, NJN 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.57,0.08,0	89.5%