NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Excitement	7.8 [253]		MVP	Andre Miller (CLE): +18.9%
New Jersey Nets	91		Comeback	8.5 [102]		LVP	Chris Mihm (CLE): -26.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.19	0.11	0.09	0.01	16	72%	0.25	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.05
Lamond Murray	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	14	67%	0.14	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Matt Harpring	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.09	-0.01	7	43%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	6	50%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.01,0.03,0.03	-0.07	0.10	-0.01	7	50%	0.09	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.08
Chucky Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	1	83%	0.01	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	8	25%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.26	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26	-0.04	-0.20	0.03	9	58%	-0.10	3	-0.16	6	67%	-0.05

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.07	0.00	8	67%	0.14	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Jamel Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	17	46%	0.06	2	-0.10	7	86%	0.05
Evan Eschmeyer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.04	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.13	-0.00	11	65%	0.08	4	-0.22	4	75%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	20	47%	-0.05	2	-0.10	9	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.7	29.2	15.3	25.9	1.0	35.3	130.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +17.8%

CLE +0.8%

CLE +13.0%

CLE +16.6%

CLE +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NJN	NBA	CLE	NJN	NBA
this game	14.7	15.5	15.5	101.0	95.8	100.9
season	15.3	15.5		98.4	97.8
opponent	15.1	15.6		103.0	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.7	14.5	17.3	12.8	14.7
NJN	14.1	16.1	17.0	15.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamond Murray	67	64	0.99	-0.49	1.49	0.38	21	-15	36	14.0	16.3	-2.37	16.1	14.3	1.80
Clar. Weatherspoon	73	68	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.38	7	-1	8	14.3	15.9	-1.55	15.6	15.2	0.35
Andre Miller	70	68	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.42	5	1	4	14.8	14.5	0.26	15.7	14.9	0.77
Matt Harpring	41	41	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.41	-4	10	-14	14.6	14.7	-0.14	14.4	16.3	-1.95
Chucky Brown	31	31	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	-3	12	16.7	13.7	2.94	17.2	14.6	2.60
Chris Mihm	54	56	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.37	-3	9	-12	14.9	14.4	0.59	15.3	15.7	-0.33
Trajan Langdon	41	41	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	-5	16	14.9	14.6	0.29	16.1	15.0	1.18
Bimbo Coles	26	27	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.09	1	5	-4	14.5	14.8	-0.26	14.9	15.7	-0.77
Robert Traylor	34	34	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.11	-3	9	-12	13.3	15.5	-2.20	14.3	16.1	-1.88
Wesley Person	43	45	-0.51	1.01	-1.52	-0.10	-14	20	-34	15.7	13.8	1.87	14.8	16.1	-1.36

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Eschmeyer	37	37	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.05	7	-13	20	15.9	15.2	0.77	17.3	13.1	4.20
Eddie Gill	31	29	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.15	-3	-3	0	15.1	15.7	-0.56	14.1	15.0	-0.89
Jamel Thomas	30	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.07	-3	-3	0	15.4	15.5	-0.06	14.6	14.7	-0.08
Johnny Newman	34	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-1	-4	15.3	15.6	-0.28	15.0	14.5	0.54
Mark Strickland	57	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.34	-3	-3	0	16.0	14.6	1.40	14.5	14.9	-0.40
Lucious Harris	77	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-2	-2	15.2	16.6	-1.40	14.7	14.4	0.38
Doug Overton	56	60	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.49	0	-6	6	15.6	15.3	0.33	14.9	14.4	0.52
Keith Van Horn	82	82	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.37	-5	-1	-4	15.4	15.9	-0.52	14.6	15.4	-0.87
Aaron Williams	71	73	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.23	-14	8	-22	15.3	16.0	-0.65	13.5	18.4	-4.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.57,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 81, IND 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.78,0.42,0	90.1%
CHH 102, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.68,0.27,0	90.0%
CHA 93, POR 85	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.43,0.02,0	89.8%