NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	105		Excitement	12.3 [20]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +52.8%
Washington Wizards	103		Comeback	5.6 [187]		LVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): -26.5%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.53	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.53	0.11	0.41	-0.00	23	60%	0.61	3	-0.08	11	91%	0.03
Russell Westbrook	0.46	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,0,0.01,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,0.05,0,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.46	-0.01	0.48	0.01	28	48%	0.57	3	-0.10	10	80%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.04	0.15	-0.00	9	53%	0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.01	4	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	7	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	11	32%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	6	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	12	33%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.43	0.03	0.39	-0.01	13	50%	0.43	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nene	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.31	0.31	0.14	0.19	0.03	14	65%	0.31	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.07
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	9	56%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	9	47%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.07,0.07,0,0,0.03,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	17	47%	0.13	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.05
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	8	50%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	4	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	21	32%	-0.19	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.1	2.7	29.5	16.7	26.2	2.7	37.2	2.3	21.0	166.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +43.5%

OKC +5.3%

WAS -18.8%

OKC +24.2%

WAS -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	WAS	NBA	OKC	WAS	NBA
this game	14.4	14.8	15.1	97.2	93.6	104.2
season	14.5	15.1		105.7	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.0		101.7	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
OKC	13.0	14.1	14.9	15.1	16.6	14.4
WAS	14.2	14.2	14.0	16.9	15.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Morrow	58	61	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.49	4	-2	6	13.9	15.0	-1.09	14.8	14.7	0.18
Kevin Durant	89	91	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.42	4	-2	6	14.6	13.5	1.14	14.9	14.2	0.66
Kendrick Perkins	29	31	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.20	8	-6	14	13.6	14.7	-1.18	14.4	14.9	-0.47
Andre Roberson	34	33	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.07	9	-7	16	13.7	14.7	-0.99	15.6	14.4	1.17
Russell Westbrook	84	87	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	1	0	14.7	13.3	1.39	14.5	15.8	-1.30
Reggie Jackson	29	29	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	0	2	14.9	14.3	0.61	15.5	14.5	0.99
Dion Waiters	71	71	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.42	-10	12	-22	14.1	15.0	-0.85	14.4	15.4	-0.98
Steven Adams	79	79	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.21	-6	8	-14	14.7	13.6	1.18	14.9	14.4	0.47
Nick Collison	11	11	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	1	0	13.9	14.5	-0.57	12.8	15.0	-2.15
Serge Ibaka	56	57	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.06	-3	5	-8	14.8	14.0	0.80	14.9	14.6	0.22

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	66	64	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.13	0	-2	2	14.7	14.8	-0.14	14.8	13.9	0.93
Otto Porter	16	17	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.01	4	-6	10	12.6	15.1	-2.57	13.7	14.5	-0.84
Rasual Butler	52	53	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-7	12	13.9	15.5	-1.54	13.5	15.3	-1.86
Bradley Beal	76	74	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	2	-6	15.4	13.3	2.16	14.4	14.4	0.09
Kris Humphries	41	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	0	-2	15.2	14.5	0.66	12.5	15.6	-3.08
John Wall	91	89	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.34	5	-7	12	14.1	17.7	-3.54	15.1	11.2	3.89
Kevin Seraphin	22	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.15	-2	0	-2	16.4	14.4	2.01	12.3	15.0	-2.68
Andre Miller	19	19	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	5	-12	17.7	14.1	3.54	11.2	15.1	-3.89
Nene	69	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.37	0	-2	2	14.5	15.2	-0.66	15.6	12.5	3.08
Marcin Gortat	78	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.23	-5	3	-8	14.6	15.1	-0.52	15.1	13.0	2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.19,0.36,0.47,0.27,0.54,0.75,0.55,0.32,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 92, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.45,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.42,0	89.1%
GSW 108, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.21,0.43,0.16,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.42,0	88.1%
MIL 99, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.66,0.71,0.57,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.14,0.15,0.23,0.05,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.23,0.15,0	88.1%