NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	126		Excitement	8.3 [206]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +41.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	121		Comeback	4.3 [92]		LVP	Chris Paul (LAC): -19.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.42	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.35,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42	0.24	0.20	0.02	18	82%	0.54	4	-0.13	9	89%	0.02
Tristan Thompson	0.23	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23	0.20	0.05	0.02	12	86%	0.25	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Timofey Mozgov	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.01	6	86%	0.15	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	5	57%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.02
J.R. Smith	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	-0.00	8	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	0.00	23	55%	0.24	9	-0.31	12	58%	-0.03
Shawn Marion	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	7	14%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.20	-0.01	0.05	23	64%	0.14	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	8	68%	0.13	1	-0.02	12	42%	-0.12
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	6	75%	0.13	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.01	13	59%	0.10	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
JJ Redick	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	10	70%	0.13	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,-0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	-0.04	12	42%	0.03	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.04
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	0.02	15	41%	-0.08	5	-0.12	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	3.3	30.3	16.8	36.6	3.4	48.6	161.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +52.4%

CLE +7.8%

CLE +7.7%

LAC -20.9%

CLE +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	LAC	NBA	CLE	LAC	NBA
this game	15.1	13.1	15.1	124.8	117.5	104.2
season	15.9	14.6		108.7	110.5
opponent	15.3	14.9		104.6	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.6	14.0	17.7	13.5	15.1
LAC	13.8	14.3	12.3	12.3	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matthew Dellavedova	48	51	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.47	6	-1	7	14.8	15.4	-0.53	13.0	13.3	-0.37
Shawn Marion	55	57	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.55	1	4	-3	15.5	14.6	0.88	12.8	13.5	-0.72
Kyrie Irving	89	89	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.36	5	0	5	14.9	16.8	-1.96	12.9	14.7	-1.82
LeBron James	91	93	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.26	8	-3	11	14.6	19.3	-4.65	13.1	13.2	-0.06
Timofey Mozgov	50	55	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	-4	13	14.7	15.5	-0.77	14.8	11.3	3.47
Mike Miller	25	22	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	2	1	16.6	14.6	2.03	12.4	13.3	-0.94
Tristan Thompson	85	83	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.14	-6	11	-17	15.4	13.6	1.76	13.1	13.4	-0.32
J.R. Smith	62	65	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.13	-1	6	-7	15.3	14.8	0.47	12.9	13.6	-0.73

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	67	69	0.38	-0.88	1.26	-0.18	19	-24	43	11.7	15.8	-4.05	14.6	16.1	-1.49
Blake Griffin	88	86	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.30	11	-16	27	13.0	14.2	-1.23	15.3	13.9	1.38
Chris Paul	88	86	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.33	11	-16	27	12.8	15.3	-2.56	15.3	13.9	1.38
Dahntay Jones	9	9	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	4	-13	16.4	12.8	3.61	14.2	15.2	-0.97
Matt Barnes	89	88	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.41	3	-8	11	12.6	16.6	-3.96	14.5	19.5	-5.08
Spencer Hawes	25	23	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	4	-13	14.2	12.8	1.34	17.3	14.5	2.84
DeAndre Jordan	76	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.13	-14	9	-23	13.7	11.7	1.95	14.7	16.2	-1.41
Austin Rivers	22	22	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.04	-18	13	-31	14.9	12.7	2.18	16.9	14.6	2.30
Jamal Crawford	51	47	-0.89	0.39	-1.27	-0.33	-19	14	-33	14.3	12.0	2.31	15.1	15.1	-0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.47,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 87, CHI 78	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.47,0.45,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0	94.3%
DET 102, MIL 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.5,0.57,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.03,0,0,0	92.7%
NJN 99, NYK 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.05,0.04,0	92.2%