NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	95		Excitement	4.7 [878]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): +13.4%
New Orleans Pelicans	106		Comeback	1.0 [839]		LVP	Tayshaun Prince (MEM): -9.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kosta Koufos	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	4	82%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Beno Udrih	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	7	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jon Leuer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Calathes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.04	13	59%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02
Mike Conley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	18	49%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	9	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.01	0.07	7	43%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.17	0.03	0.07	13	72%	0.13	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	7	93%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.04	17	59%	0.17	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	15	52%	0.05	1	0.00	10	70%	-0.01
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	16	53%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Omer Asik	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	87%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.6	28.8	15.8	26.2	2.7	26.4	126.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +36.1%

NOP +5.7%

NOP +5.5%

NOP +2.4%

NOP +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NOP	NBA	MEM	NOP	NBA
this game	16.3	15.5	15.1	104.4	117.8	104.2
season	15.9	15.8		103.8	106.3
opponent	15.2	15.2		106.1	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.0	15.4	17.3	15.3	16.3
NOP	13.6	15.2	14.0	19.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Leuer	18	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-11	11	15.8	16.4	-0.56	13.7	16.0	-2.26
Nick Calathes	3	3	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-11	11	16.3	16.3	0.05	28.0	15.1	12.90
Kosta Koufos	36	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.18	4	-15	19	16.3	16.3	0.08	16.1	15.2	0.92
Tony Allen	61	60	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-10	9	16.0	16.8	-0.82	15.1	16.4	-1.25
Vince Carter	34	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-11	11	16.0	16.4	-0.41	16.7	14.8	1.84
Beno Udrih	27	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-8	5	17.7	15.7	1.96	17.4	14.7	2.62
Mike Conley	64	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-3	-5	15.7	17.7	-1.96	14.7	17.4	-2.62
Tayshaun Prince	45	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-1	-9	16.0	16.6	-0.57	16.3	14.8	1.56
Zach Randolph	58	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	-2	-7	16.5	15.8	0.69	15.4	15.8	-0.50
Courtney Lee	54	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	2	-15	16.9	15.4	1.44	14.7	16.7	-1.99
Marc Gasol	55	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.00	-15	4	-19	16.3	16.3	-0.08	15.2	16.1	-0.92

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	66	69	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.08	15	-4	19	15.0	17.1	-2.11	16.7	14.9	1.88
Tyreke Evans	62	60	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	1	9	16.0	14.5	1.55	15.9	17.1	-1.23
Anthony Davis	68	68	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.08	12	-1	13	15.8	14.6	1.25	16.7	15.0	1.72
Dante Cunningham	57	60	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.19	7	4	3	16.4	14.1	2.33	16.8	15.2	1.61
Ryan Anderson	59	59	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.19	7	4	3	16.0	14.7	1.31	16.1	16.7	-0.62
Eric Gordon	52	53	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.00	6	5	1	14.2	17.4	-3.22	16.1	16.6	-0.55
Omer Asik	40	42	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	5	1	14.6	16.2	-1.59	17.3	15.4	1.81
Alexis Ajinca	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	14	-17	14.6	15.7	-1.07	11.8	17.0	-5.18
Luke Babbitt	9	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	12	-13	14.7	15.6	-0.96	16.8	16.2	0.55
Austin Rivers	24	22	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	15	-19	17.1	15.0	2.11	14.9	16.7	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 88, SAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.6%
WAS 94, LAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,1	95.4%
CLE 87, MEM 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.95,1	95.3%