NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	113		Excitement	9.7 [90]		MVP	Gerald Green (PHX): +26.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	111		Comeback	5.5 [487]		LVP	Gorgui Dieng (MIN): -10.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.13,0.11,0.2,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.09	0.15	-0.02	16	62%	0.28	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Isaiah Thomas	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.21,0.22	0.06	0.16	-0.00	14	53%	0.22	0	0.00	4	75%	0.03
Goran Dragic	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.17	0.11	0.08	0.02	16	69%	0.22	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Alex Len	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.11,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.08	0.00	6	69%	0.21	3	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Marcus Morris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	13	47%	0.15	2	-0.17	4	100%	0.02
Miles Plumlee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	17	45%	0.04	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.02
PJ Tucker	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.00	10	64%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	-0.00	7	71%	0.15	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.03	0.01	14	70%	0.12	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.05
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.07	-0.00	13	44%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Robbie Hummel	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.00	4	60%	0.08	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.04
Thaddeus Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.06	-0.01	18	36%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.08	0.01	16	68%	0.25	6	-0.30	5	80%	0.08
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	10	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	29.3	15.8	28.0	2.8	37.2	140.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +37.7%

MIN -4.2%

MIN -5.7%

PHX +27.3%

MIN -5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	13.2	15.4	15.1	111.9	111.0	104.2
season	14.4	15.0		103.7	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.0		110.5	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.7	13.8	12.7	12.8	13.2
MIN	14.6	15.0	18.7	13.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	73	72	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.53	9	-7	16	12.8	14.2	-1.40	14.8	17.0	-2.13
Alex Len	58	59	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.38	6	-4	10	13.2	13.3	-0.15	15.1	16.0	-0.92
Isaiah Thomas	66	65	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.58	-3	5	-8	13.1	13.5	-0.34	15.1	16.0	-0.88
Goran Dragic	80	80	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	-1	4	13.0	14.1	-1.14	15.1	16.8	-1.77
Markieff Morris	75	74	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.45	-4	6	-10	13.9	11.3	2.55	14.4	18.5	-4.10
PJ Tucker	57	56	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.12	9	-7	16	12.8	13.8	-1.07	16.0	14.7	1.21
Gerald Green	44	43	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	1	0	13.6	12.9	0.67	16.8	14.4	2.47
Marcus Morris	28	28	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	6	-10	14.4	12.8	1.55	17.9	14.5	3.47
Miles Plumlee	24	23	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.07	-7	9	-16	12.7	13.4	-0.64	16.8	15.0	1.81

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shabazz Muhammad	67	69	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-3	4	16.0	14.2	1.86	13.4	12.8	0.58
Mo Williams	73	73	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.19	7	-9	16	15.4	15.5	-0.12	13.7	12.1	1.51
Robbie Hummel	15	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.05	-3	1	-4	14.8	15.5	-0.74	14.4	13.0	1.37
Anthony Bennett	42	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-2	2	16.0	15.0	0.98	13.6	12.9	0.73
Thaddeus Young	64	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-1	0	14.9	16.4	-1.54	13.4	12.9	0.51
Andrew Wiggins	83	82	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.46	2	-4	6	15.1	17.1	-2.03	13.2	13.4	-0.23
Gorgui Dieng	79	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.48	0	-2	2	15.7	14.4	1.27	12.6	15.5	-2.89
Zach LaVine	27	28	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	7	-16	15.5	15.4	0.12	12.1	13.7	-1.51
Chase Budinger	50	51	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.45	-7	5	-12	15.2	15.7	-0.50	13.1	13.4	-0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.73,0.61,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.62,0.79,0.52,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.34,0.32,0.54,0.45,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 111, PHX 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.69,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.57,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.19,0.45,0.57,0.16,0	90.9%
IND 97, TOR 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.34,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.43,0	90.1%
LAL 103, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.68,0.42,0	90.1%