inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 102 Excitement7.5 [322] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +42.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder 109 Comeback3.6 [573] LVPRussell Westbrook (OKC): -11.6%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.070.060.01686%0.172-0.052100%0.01
Kris Humphries0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.02-0.00847%0.061-0.0510%-0.02
Rasual Butler0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.01-0.021246%0.031-0.0200%0.00
DeJuan Blair0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Martell Webster-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02050%0.001-0.00250%-0.01
Bradley Beal-0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,00.03-0.010.021562%0.093-0.094100%0.03
John Wall-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.08,00.01-0.03-0.011350%0.071-0.082100%0.01
Andre Miller-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.08-0.100.00968%0.031-0.054100%0.02
Nene-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.030.001155%0.062-0.0900%0.00
Marcin Gortat-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.020.03650%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Kevin Seraphin-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.00425%-0.032-0.0500%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.430.430.250.200.021879%0.502-0.07786%-0.01
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.10.100.050.04-0.011065%0.121-0.0200%0.00
Perry Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.030.00387%0.0900.00250%-0.01
Anthony Morrow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.04-0.00580%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.07-0.000.00771%0.0600.0000%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.02-0.01646%0.051-0.0310%-0.01
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.020.001045%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Jeremy Lamb00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Grant Jerrett00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ish Smith00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andre Roberson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.0000%-0.031-0.0320%-0.05
Steven Adams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.0010%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12-0.12-0.09-0.030.002342%-0.072-0.04786%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.52.528.315.422.52.331.7131.1
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +43.3%
WAS -5.7%
WAS -11.4%
OKC +23.8%
OKC +0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASOKCNBAWASOKCNBA
this game16.014.015.1107.4112.4104.2
season15.114.5102.9105.7
opponent15.015.3103.5101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS15.717.215.315.916.0
OKC15.013.313.514.214.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeJuan Blair540.02-0.520.540.020-7714.216.1-1.9411.014.1-3.11
Marcin Gortat6566-0.08-0.420.34-0.173-101314.818.8-4.0814.113.70.35
Paul Pierce4142-0.14-0.360.22-0.11-1-6515.116.8-1.6613.414.4-1.01
Nene5152-0.16-0.340.17-0.222-91116.715.31.3914.513.41.16
Martell Webster1010-0.18-0.320.150.06-81-919.515.63.8612.614.1-1.54
Bradley Beal7577-0.21-0.290.08-0.241-8915.418.5-3.1114.013.90.04
John Wall6569-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.22-2-5315.517.2-1.7414.313.21.13
Kevin Seraphin1820-0.28-0.22-0.070.04-114-1518.715.43.3113.614.1-0.48
Andre Miller4038-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.19-5-2-317.315.12.1713.714.1-0.40
Rasual Butler6061-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.28-3-4115.916.3-0.4313.914.1-0.17
Kris Humphries4546-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.16-114-1517.414.82.5414.213.70.49

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Reggie Jackson58550.82-0.321.150.3018-112913.914.1-0.1615.916.3-0.40
Kendrick Perkins52500.59-0.090.690.339-21114.912.92.0817.114.92.15
Serge Ibaka63630.440.060.380.218-1914.612.81.7815.816.5-0.74
Anthony Morrow40400.360.140.220.0112-51713.314.4-1.1117.015.31.65
Kevin Durant60620.340.170.170.1952314.413.21.2316.315.60.67
Perry Jones30270.200.30-0.110.1134-113.414.2-0.8415.616.2-0.68
Nick Collison33320.060.44-0.380.09-18-913.214.4-1.2116.515.80.74
Russell Westbrook59610.050.45-0.390.29-815-2314.213.60.5715.616.8-1.13
Jeremy Lamb100.000.50-0.500.0007-71.014.1-13.110.016.0-16.04
Grant Jerrett100.000.50-0.500.0007-71.014.1-13.110.016.0-16.04
Ish Smith100.000.50-0.500.0007-71.014.1-13.110.016.0-16.04
Steven Adams3939-0.100.60-0.70-0.1316-513.414.4-0.9516.016.1-0.11
Andre Roberson4846-0.260.76-1.020.09-1219-3114.113.90.1614.917.1-2.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.25,0.5,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.76,0.79,0.91,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 78, HOU 850.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.21,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.99,0.98,192.7%
ATL 100, SAS 1020.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.29,0.32,0.58,0.43,0.66,0.71,0.87,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.84,0.94,0.92,192.6%
NOP 82, CLE 900.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.97,1,192.4%