NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	110		Excitement	4.7 [880]		MVP	CJ Watson (IND): +11.6%
Brooklyn Nets	85		Comeback	1.7 [425]		LVP	Brook Lopez (BKN): -13.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Watson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.03	0.04	10	85%	0.12	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	13	57%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Luis Scola	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
George Hill	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	9	67%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shayne Whittington	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	12	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.06	13	61%	0.04	2	-0.07	7	71%	-0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sergey Karasev	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.00	9	64%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	12	56%	0.02	2	-0.01	8	100%	0.03
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	53%	0.00	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
Darius Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Davies	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	58%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	7	41%	0.00	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.03	0.07	15	71%	0.07	5	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	6	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.5	33.9	15.0	25.0	2.7	27.6	131.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +32.6%

IND +0.3%

IND +11.3%

IND +8.9%

BKN -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BKN	NBA	IND	BKN	NBA
this game	15.7	14.0	15.1	113.4	87.6	104.2
season	16.0	15.3		102.3	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.0		105.8	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.7	14.0	15.0	17.3	15.7
BKN	13.3	13.2	15.0	14.6	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Copeland	71	70	0.72	-0.22	0.93	-0.31	35	-10	45	14.6	18.5	-3.85	13.7	14.9	-1.27
CJ Watson	61	62	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.33	31	-6	37	14.6	17.5	-2.94	13.9	14.3	-0.43
Rodney Stuckey	73	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	13	-1	15.5	16.4	-0.92	14.4	12.8	1.55
Luis Scola	36	38	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.05	12	13	-1	13.8	16.8	-3.03	13.8	14.1	-0.28
Lavoy Allen	54	53	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.34	21	4	17	15.2	16.3	-1.12	13.9	14.2	-0.27
Roy Hibbert	43	44	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	21	-17	16.3	15.2	1.12	14.2	13.9	0.27
David West	58	56	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.01	7	18	-11	16.7	14.2	2.47	14.1	13.9	0.23
Shayne Whittington	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	19	-13	19.3	15.6	3.77	14.3	14.0	0.33
George Hill	46	44	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.02	-2	27	-29	17.8	13.8	4.04	14.1	13.9	0.23
Solomon Hill	40	41	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.13	-1	26	-27	17.1	14.6	2.50	14.0	14.0	0.07

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	29	30	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.12	10	-35	45	13.3	14.3	-0.95	16.9	15.1	1.72
Sergey Karasev	47	48	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.27	14	-39	53	13.4	14.5	-1.09	17.4	14.0	3.44
Darius Morris	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.23	-8	-17	9	15.6	13.9	1.68	20.8	15.4	5.40
Brandon Davies	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.23	-8	-17	9	15.6	13.9	1.68	20.8	15.4	5.40
Jerome Jordan	9	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.40	-15	-10	-5	16.0	13.8	2.19	16.6	15.6	0.96
Bojan Bogdanovic	23	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.27	-14	-11	-3	13.8	14.1	-0.24	15.6	15.7	-0.12
Joe Johnson	70	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-21	17	13.9	14.2	-0.29	16.0	14.9	1.03
Jarrett Jack	78	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	-16	7	14.0	14.2	-0.18	15.6	16.0	-0.39
Alan Anderson	47	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.18	-18	-7	-11	14.0	14.0	0.02	14.6	16.7	-2.02
Mason Plumlee	64	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	-14	3	14.3	13.5	0.84	16.0	15.1	0.89
Deron Williams	43	42	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.19	-20	-5	-15	13.8	14.1	-0.31	13.7	17.2	-3.51
Mirza Teletovic	35	34	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.26	-23	-2	-21	13.9	14.1	-0.19	14.4	16.3	-1.91
Brook Lopez	30	29	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.09	-19	-6	-13	14.6	13.7	0.85	14.5	16.2	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.23,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 108, MIL 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
NOP 109, MIA 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.2,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
DET 111, ORL 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.43,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.31,0.41,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.18,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%