inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 117 Excitement10.2 [67] MVPJames Harden (HOU): +47.1%
Memphis Grizzlies 111 Comeback5.3 [181] LVPTony Allen (MEM): -10.5%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0.470,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.470.180.310.021771%0.512-0.041191%0.06
Corey Brewer0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.060.11-0.011065%0.191-0.0200%0.00
Dwight Howard0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07-0.090.14-0.01437%0.143-0.07850%0.00
Jason Terry0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.00-0.00675%0.091-0.0400%0.00
Josh Smith0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.16,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.04-0.010.060.002147%0.112-0.063100%0.04
Joey Dorsey0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.02-0.00250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Alexey Shved0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.02-0.00237%0.0000.00475%-0.00
Patrick Beverley-0.010,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.011250%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Trevor Ariza-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.06,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.06-0.011354%0.082-0.12250%-0.02
Donatas Motiejunas-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.020.00450%0.012-0.0700%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.220.22-0.010.22-0.011045%0.381-0.172100%0.01
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.180.180.020.012163%0.1800.004100%0.02
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.100.030.001263%0.1300.00367%0.00
Quincy Pondexter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.06-0.00-0.001056%0.0600.00580%0.00
Jon Leuer0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.01367%0.0100.0000%0.00
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.100.04-0.011534%0.022-0.06250%-0.02
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.01-0.00631%-0.041-0.021100%0.00
Kosta Koufos0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.04-0.00440%-0.021-0.052100%0.01
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.06-0.031231%-0.1000.0020%-0.06
Tony Allen0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.02,-0.11-0.11-0.03-0.08-0.001142%-0.041-0.072100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.42.328.015.824.41.835.81.717.6153.7
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.62.017.8136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +37.9%
HOU +21.9%
MEM -1.9%
MEM -8.1%
HOU +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUMEMNBAHOUMEMNBA
this game15.115.715.1114.7106.7104.2
season14.315.9105.6103.8
opponent15.214.9100.8103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
HOU13.316.314.715.717.115.1
MEM14.315.615.319.413.315.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trevor Ariza74770.72-0.220.940.2516-102615.115.3-0.2216.713.13.60
James Harden78800.390.110.290.139-31215.513.91.6415.416.7-1.26
Jason Terry35360.380.120.260.44-28-1015.315.10.2016.215.50.65
Corey Brewer43430.350.150.200.47-410-1415.215.10.1016.015.60.40
Josh Smith62630.310.190.13-0.1014-82213.717.3-3.6616.215.01.22
Donatas Motiejunas60600.250.25-0.000.31-28-1015.414.70.7816.215.11.13
Patrick Beverley68700.180.32-0.130.0160615.115.10.0614.917.4-2.53
Joey Dorsey19190.030.47-0.430.0306-614.915.2-0.2213.816.2-2.39
Dwight Howard5759-0.010.51-0.520.02-17-815.914.21.7415.216.4-1.20
Alexey Shved1413-0.110.61-0.720.06-612-1814.815.2-0.4015.215.8-0.67

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Courtney Lee68680.36-0.861.230.283-91215.416.4-1.0315.015.3-0.25
Tony Allen53510.13-0.630.770.024-101415.116.4-1.2816.314.02.33
Jon Leuer3434-0.03-0.470.440.09-4-2-216.415.40.9512.616.4-3.72
Vince Carter4442-0.08-0.420.33-0.266-121815.815.70.1016.014.51.44
Kosta Koufos2727-0.23-0.270.04-0.292-81016.815.41.4015.015.2-0.22
Quincy Pondexter4140-0.24-0.260.03-0.09-5-1-415.615.8-0.2213.416.2-2.84
Marc Gasol7775-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.03-82-1015.416.8-1.4015.215.00.22
Beno Udrih4040-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.24-1-5416.315.40.9114.515.5-0.95
Mike Conley7069-0.520.02-0.53-0.22-104-1416.314.51.8015.713.91.76
Tayshaun Prince5555-0.860.36-1.22-0.54-115-1615.815.70.0915.714.51.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.36,0.11,0.09,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 118, WAS 1160.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.22,0.14,0.59,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.15,089.9%
DAL 96, BKN 880.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.34,0.3,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.22,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.34,0.23,0.02,088.7%
SEA 99, MIN 980.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.88,0.79,0.7,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.27,0.2,0.28,0.15,0.26,0.46,0.55,0.21,0.15,0.08,088.0%