NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	104		Excitement	7.8 [275]		MVP	DeMarre Carroll (ATL): +38.0%
Atlanta Hawks	107		Comeback	6.4 [251]		LVP	Dennis Schroder (ATL): -16.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.13	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13	0.10	0.03	0.01	11	67%	0.16	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.05
DeAndre Jordan	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	11	58%	0.10	2	-0.08	4	25%	-0.07
Jamal Crawford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	19	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Chris Paul	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.03,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	18	50%	0.08	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.05
Glen Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	2	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09	0.03	-0.10	0.02	17	55%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.25	0.14	0.01	12	93%	0.38	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	9	70%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Al Horford	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.13	0.13	-0.04	0.16	-0.01	18	45%	0.18	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	1	83%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.07	-0.00	8	47%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	12	52%	0.06	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.04
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	75%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.02	0.00	8	28%	-0.07	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.6	29.2	16.5	31.5	2.3	39.3	143.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +48.4%

ATL +30.3%

LAC -10.6%

LAC -6.0%

LAC -12.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	ATL	NBA	LAC	ATL	NBA
this game	13.6	16.0	15.1	105.1	111.5	104.2
season	14.6	14.9		110.5	106.7
opponent	15.4	15.3		101.8	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.3	11.6	13.2	15.3	13.6
ATL	15.1	17.2	16.1	15.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	76	73	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.25	10	-13	23	13.2	15.1	-1.97	16.2	15.2	0.97
JJ Redick	70	67	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.26	8	-11	19	13.1	14.9	-1.86	16.8	14.1	2.66
Matt Barnes	42	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-3	3	13.8	13.5	0.34	16.9	15.3	1.58
Chris Paul	80	78	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.34	10	-13	23	13.2	15.2	-1.97	16.3	14.5	1.79
DeAndre Jordan	76	75	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.40	6	-9	15	14.1	12.1	1.94	17.0	12.3	4.64
Glen Davis	20	21	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	5	-13	13.4	13.7	-0.27	12.3	17.0	-4.64
Hedo Turkoglu	19	20	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	7	-17	13.6	13.6	0.02	14.9	16.2	-1.34
Jordan Farmar	24	23	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	7	-17	15.1	13.1	1.94	14.8	16.3	-1.55
Reggie Bullock	24	24	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.11	-14	11	-25	15.0	13.2	1.83	13.7	16.7	-2.94
Jamal Crawford	64	60	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.46	-7	4	-11	13.6	13.7	-0.15	15.4	16.9	-1.44

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Teague	48	49	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.20	23	-20	43	14.5	17.4	-2.83	14.3	13.0	1.33
Thabo Sefolosha	39	39	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.21	22	-19	41	13.7	17.5	-3.82	13.9	13.4	0.55
Kyle Korver	73	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.26	7	-4	11	16.3	14.9	1.43	14.0	12.3	1.65
Paul Millsap	65	69	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.18	6	-3	9	16.3	15.2	1.08	13.6	13.7	-0.12
Al Horford	69	72	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.45	-7	10	-17	16.4	14.7	1.75	13.2	14.6	-1.34
Mike Scott	21	21	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.17	1	2	-1	15.7	16.0	-0.31	15.0	13.3	1.70
Elton Brand	37	36	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.03	6	-3	9	14.6	16.8	-2.26	13.6	13.6	0.04
Kent Bazemore	8	9	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.17	-10	13	-23	15.2	16.0	-0.77	10.4	13.9	-3.49
DeMarre Carroll	73	77	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.28	-15	18	-33	16.7	13.7	3.03	13.1	15.5	-2.36
Dennis Schroder	47	47	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	0.12	-18	21	-39	17.7	14.2	3.50	13.5	13.7	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 95, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.67,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,1	92.0%
WAS 106, MIA 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.97,0.99,1	91.4%
DAL 107, LAL 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.33,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.81,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1	90.7%