NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	91		Excitement	4.5 [914]		MVP	Anderson Varejao (CLE): +14.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	105		Comeback	1.0 [1028]		LVP	Quincy Pondexter (MEM): -6.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Leuer	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	14	53%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	9	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0.05	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	17	61%	0.17	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01
Kosta Koufos	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Calathes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	4	25%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarnell Stokes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Adams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	13	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Pondexter	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.02	0.00	12	75%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.05	-0.01	6	92%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	15	69%	0.24	5	-0.13	6	67%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.02	13	63%	0.13	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	-0.00	16	64%	0.11	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Harris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	9	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	25.6	15.6	24.5	2.5	27.2	121.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +62.2%

MEM -6.3%

MEM -7.5%

MEM -1.3%

CLE +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CLE	NBA	MEM	CLE	NBA
this game	15.3	16.2	15.1	100.0	114.1	104.2
season	15.9	15.9		103.8	108.7
opponent	14.9	15.2		104.1	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.3	16.3	15.3	14.2	15.3
CLE	18.1	15.0	16.7	15.2	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Calathes	27	27	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-19	24	14.2	15.7	-1.48	17.4	15.7	1.75
Jarnell Stokes	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	12.0	15.6	-3.58	15.6	16.3	-0.64
Jordan Adams	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-16	18	12.2	15.7	-3.51	16.9	16.1	0.80
Tayshaun Prince	39	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-11	8	15.1	15.4	-0.37	16.9	15.6	1.26
Courtney Lee	43	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	-5	-4	16.1	14.5	1.62	16.7	15.8	0.92
Mike Conley	44	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	-6	-2	16.5	14.1	2.31	17.5	14.9	2.60
Jon Leuer	55	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.15	-14	0	-14	15.9	14.2	1.72	17.5	14.2	3.35
Kosta Koufos	49	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	-7	0	14.7	15.9	-1.23	15.3	17.2	-1.91
Quincy Pondexter	45	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-10	6	15.2	15.3	-0.17	15.3	17.0	-1.66
Beno Udrih	39	40	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.10	-8	-6	-2	13.9	16.2	-2.30	14.7	17.4	-2.71
Marc Gasol	55	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.09	-11	-3	-8	16.0	14.1	1.95	16.1	16.4	-0.31
Vince Carter	40	40	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.03	-14	0	-14	15.5	15.1	0.47	14.5	17.5	-3.06

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyrie Irving	70	69	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.15	24	-10	34	16.3	16.0	0.27	16.4	11.7	4.72
Kevin Love	66	67	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.13	18	-4	22	16.3	15.9	0.40	15.7	14.0	1.66
Dion Waiters	55	55	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.14	8	6	2	15.2	17.7	-2.46	14.7	16.1	-1.36
Shawn Marion	44	43	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	10	-6	15.6	16.8	-1.18	15.1	15.4	-0.32
Tristan Thompson	39	41	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	8	-2	15.3	16.9	-1.60	14.4	16.0	-1.55
LeBron James	72	72	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.06	8	6	2	16.5	15.3	1.16	14.9	16.5	-1.60
Anderson Varejao	51	48	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	6	2	17.1	15.0	2.09	16.3	14.1	2.22
Mike Miller	31	29	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.07	6	8	-2	17.6	15.5	2.17	15.7	15.1	0.57
Joe Harris	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	15.0	16.3	-1.26	11.7	15.4	-3.68
Matthew Dellavedova	28	27	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.25	-10	24	-34	16.2	16.2	0.01	13.0	16.2	-3.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 96, SAS 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.7,0.73,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
TOR 83, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
WAS 91, PHX 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.76,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%