NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	108		Excitement	8.2 [218]		MVP	Ben McLemore (SAC): +27.8%
Sacramento Kings	107		Comeback	2.4 [172]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -29.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zaza Pachulia	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.2	-0.08	0.26	-0.02	7	35%	0.26	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.09
Jerryd Bayless	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.09	-0.01	12	65%	0.22	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.1	0.16	-0.04	0.01	10	83%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kendall Marshall	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Johnny O'Bryant	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	4	60%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	5	79%	0.13	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.05	0.03	13	68%	0.07	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Knight	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	16	53%	0.02	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Khris Middleton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.28	0.28	0.15	0.14	0.01	10	88%	0.37	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.10
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.08	0.14	-0.03	15	62%	0.26	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	64%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.04	0.00	11	65%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	30%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.05
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	9	41%	-0.05	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.29	-0.29	0.07	-0.32	0.04	12	73%	-0.10	6	-0.20	13	85%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.5	29.4	14.7	27.0	2.5	34.4	135.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +28.4%

SAC -1.8%

SAC -2.5%

MIL +18.4%

MIL +7.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	SAC	NBA	MIL	SAC	NBA
this game	13.5	15.2	15.1	105.9	108.1	104.2
season	14.5	14.9		100.5	103.7
opponent	14.8	15.7		107.6	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.3	12.3	13.5	15.1	13.5
SAC	13.9	14.9	17.8	14.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerryd Bayless	59	58	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.41	12	-11	23	13.2	14.0	-0.78	15.8	14.4	1.39
Kendall Marshall	41	40	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.19	18	-17	35	12.3	14.3	-1.98	16.1	14.6	1.54
Jared Dudley	67	65	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	-2	5	13.9	12.7	1.15	15.4	14.8	0.64
Johnny O'Bryant	39	38	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.40	-6	7	-13	13.5	13.5	0.06	14.0	15.9	-1.96
Brandon Knight	79	78	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.41	-7	8	-15	14.1	11.4	2.67	14.6	17.2	-2.55
Khris Middleton	40	36	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	-5	11	11.9	14.5	-2.59	16.4	14.5	1.94
Zaza Pachulia	58	56	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.26	-7	8	-15	13.8	13.1	0.64	14.5	16.1	-1.57
Giannis Antetokounmpo	75	74	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.31	-10	11	-21	14.1	11.8	2.34	15.4	14.5	0.94
O.J. Mayo	52	50	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	5	-9	13.4	13.6	-0.27	14.8	15.6	-0.81

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Thompson	39	41	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.08	8	-9	17	15.1	15.2	-0.09	13.7	13.3	0.39
Ryan Hollins	5	6	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-2	3	18.6	15.0	3.60	15.0	13.4	1.59
Derrick Williams	47	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.19	2	-3	5	15.9	14.5	1.44	13.1	13.9	-0.86
Ben McLemore	84	87	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.50	12	-13	25	15.2	15.3	-0.18	13.9	11.1	2.77
Rudy Gay	80	81	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.42	7	-8	15	14.8	16.8	-1.99	14.3	10.5	3.75
Darren Collison	83	84	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.41	6	-7	13	14.7	17.4	-2.69	14.2	10.2	3.98
DeMarcus Cousins	70	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.55	8	-9	17	14.2	17.6	-3.45	14.1	12.2	1.91
Nik Stauskas	19	20	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	10	-21	16.5	14.9	1.66	10.1	14.3	-4.17
Carl Landry	20	22	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.06	-18	17	-35	17.4	14.6	2.84	10.4	14.3	-3.94
Ramon Sessions	48	49	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.14	-20	19	-39	15.6	14.8	0.74	12.3	14.6	-2.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.33,0.28,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.09,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 77, ATL 70	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.02,0	91.6%
ORL 98, PHX 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.52,0.34,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.06,0,0	91.3%
IND 106, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.04,0	90.6%