NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	97		Excitement	7.4 [330]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): +31.1%
Chicago Bulls	103		Comeback	1.6 [960]		LVP	Jason Smith (NYK): -17.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12	0.00	0.11	-0.01	13	55%	0.18	3	-0.07	3	67%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	19	57%	0.15	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	4	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	10	55%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Acy	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cole Aldrich	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	65%	0.06	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Travis Wear	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	7	57%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	7	31%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Smith	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.07	0.00	6	31%	-0.07	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.31	0.31	0.18	0.15	0.02	21	67%	0.37	2	-0.06	10	90%	0.05
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.06	0.18	-0.00	9	75%	0.35	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.04
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.08	-0.01	7	72%	0.18	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.12	0.03	15	59%	0.20	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.04	8	18%	-0.10	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	3.4	27.6	17.6	28.2	3.5	34.2	140.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +35.6%

CHI +16.7%

NYK -14.4%

CHI +11.4%

CHI +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	17.2	15.5	15.1	110.2	117.0	104.2
season	16.1	15.5		98.5	105.4
opponent	15.2	15.0		102.5	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	18.2	14.5	18.7	17.7	17.2
CHI	13.7	14.9	16.5	17.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	55	54	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.15	2	-8	10	16.6	18.2	-1.55	16.9	13.4	3.53
Jose Calderon	63	63	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-10	14	17.3	16.8	0.53	16.6	12.8	3.78
Tim Hardaway Jr.	72	73	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.28	5	-11	16	17.2	17.1	0.15	15.8	14.1	1.70
Quincy Acy	19	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-7	8	14.7	17.9	-3.19	15.3	15.6	-0.34
Jason Smith	31	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-1	-4	18.3	16.6	1.76	13.5	16.7	-3.18
Samuel Dalembert	24	23	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	4	-14	20.7	15.9	4.85	12.3	16.7	-4.33
Cole Aldrich	47	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-6	6	16.3	18.2	-1.85	17.0	13.9	3.17
Pablo Prigioni	25	25	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	4	-14	16.8	17.3	-0.53	12.8	16.6	-3.78
Travis Wear	48	47	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.06	-11	5	-16	17.6	16.7	0.88	15.3	15.8	-0.44
Shane Larkin	56	56	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.31	-6	0	-6	16.8	17.8	-1.04	15.3	15.9	-0.57

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	59	62	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.51	5	1	4	16.2	14.2	1.95	17.0	17.5	-0.45
Kirk Hinrich	57	57	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.31	10	-4	14	16.8	13.2	3.63	16.8	17.9	-1.06
Aaron Brooks	46	47	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.36	6	0	6	15.0	16.1	-1.10	17.4	17.0	0.39
Jimmy Butler	80	80	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.27	8	-2	10	15.7	14.0	1.70	17.7	12.0	5.70
Nikola Mirotic	54	51	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	0	6	14.3	17.6	-3.28	16.7	17.8	-1.09
Pau Gasol	63	63	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	5	-4	16.0	14.3	1.71	17.7	15.9	1.76
Tony Snell	19	18	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	4	-2	13.1	16.2	-3.18	15.3	17.7	-2.39
Mike Dunleavy	55	55	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	10	-14	16.0	14.8	1.12	16.3	18.6	-2.23
E'Twaun Moore	7	7	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.02	-4	10	-14	10.3	16.0	-5.71	24.6	16.5	8.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.38,0.62,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.87,0.62,0.85,0.89,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 102, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.84,0.98,1	91.7%
UTA 108, HOU 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.69,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.89,0.98,0.98,1	91.6%
SAC 80, MIN 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.69,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.97,1,0.91,1	91.4%