inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 103 Excitement7.9 [273] MVPChris Bosh (MIA): +54.2%
Phoenix Suns 97 Comeback2.6 [307] LVPEric Bledsoe (PHX): -37.8%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0.540,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.44,0.54,0.540.250.310.012177%0.571-0.032100%0.01
Luol Deng0.230,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.230.150.090.011282%0.292-0.05450%0.01
Josh McRoberts0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.080.100.005100%0.201-0.0200%0.00
Norris Cole0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.00-0.00956%0.0400.0000%0.00
James Ennis0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.00267%0.0300.002100%0.02
Shawne Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Shabazz Napier-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00633%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.07-0.06-0.001547%0.095-0.22450%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.07-0.130.00714%-0.2100.0000%0.00

Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcus Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.390.390.210.18-0.001396%0.502-0.1000%0.00
Gerald Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.24,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.20.200.080.12-0.001176%0.354-0.15367%-0.01
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.040.00675%0.121-0.0300%0.00
Markieff Morris0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.050.001163%0.123-0.07580%0.01
Tyler Ennis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
PJ Tucker0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.01-0.00437%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alex Len0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Miles Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.020.01333%-0.032-0.0600%0.00
Goran Dragic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.01-0.110.001552%-0.013-0.1110%-0.02
Eric Bledsoe0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.37,-0.37,-0.38-0.38-0.25-0.17-0.041118%-0.137-0.2500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.22.829.115.523.22.433.3127.6
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHX -9.6%
MIA +12.8%
MIA +2.1%
MIA +46.3%
PHX -1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAPHXNBAMIAPHXNBA
this game16.615.915.1115.7110.2104.2
season16.014.4102.4103.7
opponent15.015.3104.9105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.516.417.818.216.6
PHX15.513.619.216.115.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luol Deng61620.80-0.301.090.3316-102615.419.2-3.8217.113.04.13
Josh McRoberts60610.67-0.170.840.1717-112816.516.9-0.4517.013.43.61
Chris Bosh67660.58-0.080.650.2511-51615.918.9-2.9716.514.12.42
Dwyane Wade62640.56-0.060.610.2012-61816.616.6-0.0016.514.51.99
Norris Cole56570.230.27-0.04-0.0710-41416.217.3-1.0716.514.91.55
Udonis Haslem37350.030.47-0.440.15-410-1418.515.33.2314.017.2-3.22
Shabazz Napier64-0.130.63-0.760.08-713-2017.716.61.1114.216.0-1.74
Mario Chalmers3331-0.150.65-0.800.08-814-2216.116.9-0.8113.717.1-3.45
Shawne Williams1413-0.240.74-0.980.11-1218-3015.816.8-1.0013.316.4-3.05
James Ennis2826-0.300.80-1.09-0.00-1016-2619.215.43.8213.017.1-4.13

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alex Len38400.41-0.911.33-0.0315-213615.016.6-1.6017.316.11.22
Anthony Tolliver30290.17-0.670.84-0.016-121814.216.8-2.6417.816.11.73
Tyler Ennis10120.15-0.650.81-0.088-142213.416.2-2.8316.616.6-0.05
Gerald Green39420.01-0.510.53-0.166-121814.317.2-2.9217.316.01.33
Marcus Morris6970-0.12-0.380.26-0.4411-172815.118.8-3.6717.115.02.07
Miles Plumlee3534-0.24-0.260.020.08-115-1616.215.70.4415.917.1-1.26
Eric Bledsoe6866-0.600.10-0.70-0.22-137-2016.513.82.7316.018.3-2.32
Goran Dragic6262-0.600.10-0.70-0.22-137-2016.514.51.9516.517.0-0.48
PJ Tucker3333-0.760.26-1.01-0.17-2014-3417.914.73.2015.717.2-1.43
Markieff Morris5657-0.940.44-1.37-0.38-1913-3217.313.53.7916.417.1-0.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.63,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.34,0.47,0.52,0.68,0.47,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.54,0.15,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 103, MIA 940.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.26,0.24,0.4,0.55,0.37,0.15,0.08,091.5%
CHI 87, CLE 800.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.36,0.2,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.15,0.15,091.3%
PHX 104, ATL 990.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.3,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.31,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.22,0.15,0.04,090.8%