NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	103		Excitement	7.5 [326]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +23.0%
New York Knicks	99		Comeback	1.9 [678]		LVP	Pablo Prigioni (NYK): -12.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.23	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.14,0.25,0.23	0.02	0.19	-0.02	19	52%	0.29	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.04
Wesley Matthews	0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.02	11	60%	0.18	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.00	8	65%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dorell Wright	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	6	42%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Freeland	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	29%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Damian Lillard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.00	16	49%	-0.00	1	-0.03	9	89%	-0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	8	37%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.11	0.01	11	67%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	-0.01	0.01	12	80%	0.23	1	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	10	55%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.05,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.07	-0.01	19	52%	0.04	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	6	67%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	3	0%	-0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.0	29.2	17.4	27.4	2.3	31.4	133.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -3.6%

POR +15.1%

POR +21.0%

POR +14.1%

POR +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NYK	NBA	POR	NYK	NBA
this game	15.9	15.4	15.1	112.0	107.6	104.2
season	15.3	16.1		106.5	98.5
opponent	15.0	15.0		108.3	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.1	17.0	14.3	17.5	15.9
NYK	14.2	13.8	17.0	16.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	68	69	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.25	15	-11	26	15.6	16.7	-1.02	15.8	14.0	1.80
Damian Lillard	66	68	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.35	11	-7	18	16.8	13.7	3.10	15.6	14.7	0.98
Robin Lopez	61	62	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.27	9	-5	14	16.4	14.9	1.47	16.0	14.1	1.87
Wesley Matthews	64	66	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	-4	12	16.0	15.6	0.44	15.2	15.8	-0.53
Nicolas Batum	67	67	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.34	-2	6	-8	15.7	16.5	-0.83	15.6	14.8	0.87
Chris Kaman	37	35	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.24	-5	9	-14	14.7	16.7	-1.98	14.2	16.1	-1.88
Dorell Wright	5	5	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.07	5	-1	6	16.2	15.9	0.30	14.0	15.5	-1.47
Allen Crabbe	27	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	8	-12	15.4	16.1	-0.66	16.2	15.1	1.06
Steve Blake	47	45	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	8	-12	15.1	16.8	-1.74	14.3	16.4	-2.11
Joel Freeland	18	17	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.07	-13	17	-30	17.7	15.5	2.18	14.5	15.6	-1.13

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Acy	36	35	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.03	0	-4	4	14.9	15.7	-0.78	16.3	15.6	0.69
Tim Hardaway Jr.	25	25	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.14	6	-10	16	14.8	15.6	-0.76	15.9	15.9	0.01
Pablo Prigioni	47	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.41	10	-14	24	15.1	15.7	-0.54	15.4	16.5	-1.12
J.R. Smith	49	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.44	10	-14	24	15.0	15.8	-0.79	15.5	16.4	-0.95
Amar'e Stoudemire	71	68	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.41	8	-12	20	15.4	15.4	0.01	16.0	15.8	0.16
Samuel Dalembert	34	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	1	-6	14.0	16.2	-2.21	15.7	16.0	-0.27
Iman Shumpert	43	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	10	-24	15.8	15.0	0.79	16.4	15.5	0.95
Jose Calderon	45	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	10	-24	15.7	15.1	0.54	16.5	15.4	1.12
Carmelo Anthony	67	67	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	6	-16	15.6	14.8	0.76	15.9	15.9	-0.01
Jason Smith	43	46	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.35	-11	7	-18	16.9	14.1	2.80	15.7	16.2	-0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.29,0.09,0.17,0.16,0.33,0.55,0.63,0.15,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 91, TOR 88	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.14,0.09,0	90.1%
ORL 96, NJN 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.21,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.28,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.02,0	89.9%
ORL 90, IND 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.34,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.18,0	89.8%