inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 105 Excitement6.2 [578] MVPTobias Harris (ORL): +27.4%
Sacramento Kings 96 Comeback1.1 [395] LVPCarl Landry (SAC): -7.0%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tobias Harris0.270,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.190.110.021771%0.2700.00475%-0.02
Kyle O'Quinn0.110,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.120.020.025108%0.141-0.032100%0.01
Ben Gordon0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.100.020.01692%0.1100.0000%0.00
Channing Frye0.040,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.020.060.01743%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00283%0.041-0.03250%-0.01
Evan Fournier-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.020.021647%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Victor Oladipo-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.010.001547%0.083-0.124100%0.01
Andrew Nicholson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00333%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Willie Green-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.01-0.00520%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Elfrid Payton-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.01750%-0.013-0.062100%0.01

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Thompson0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.11-0.000.011275%0.131-0.0400%0.00
Darren Collison0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.070.070.07-0.000.001459%0.102-0.03978%-0.00
Derrick Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.110.010.05882%0.161-0.091100%0.00
Ryan Hollins0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.00-0.00362%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Reggie Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00237%-0.0100.00475%-0.00
Nik Stauskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Ben McLemore0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01333%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Rudy Gay0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.030.001548%0.022-0.05367%-0.00
Omri Casspi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00344%-0.011-0.02367%-0.03
Ray McCallum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Ramon Sessions0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.020.001138%-0.041-0.034100%0.02
Carl Landry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.02517%-0.041-0.032100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.92.530.415.424.52.534.5133.7
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +45.9%
SAC -9.9%
ORL +16.7%
ORL +2.7%
SAC -5.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLSACNBAORLSACNBA
this game16.415.615.1116.7106.7104.2
season14.914.9100.4103.7
opponent14.815.3107.6105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL16.416.216.416.716.4
SAC16.316.514.914.715.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tobias Harris73730.430.070.370.2663316.516.00.5215.117.5-2.41
Channing Frye63640.430.070.360.1981717.414.03.4115.316.3-0.97
Evan Fournier56560.410.090.320.2072517.115.31.8615.815.20.64
Victor Oladipo65670.390.110.290.2554117.015.01.9115.316.4-1.09
Elfrid Payton49490.320.180.140.1463315.517.5-1.9615.016.2-1.22
Kyle O'Quinn35340.320.180.14-0.0312-31516.416.4-0.0416.914.82.14
Ben Gordon25230.110.39-0.29-0.0145-115.017.0-1.9116.415.31.09
Andrew Nicholson20200.070.43-0.360.0418-715.516.7-1.1916.015.50.54
Willie Green21210.020.48-0.46-0.0427-515.516.7-1.1716.215.40.86
Dewayne Dedmon4343-0.000.50-0.500.18-615-2115.717.0-1.3015.515.6-0.13

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derrick Williams33320.05-0.550.61-0.126-152113.916.5-2.6316.916.20.70
Omri Casspi2323-0.08-0.420.340.01-3-6315.815.50.2815.216.8-1.62
Darren Collison6464-0.10-0.400.31-0.276-152114.917.2-2.2716.815.41.46
Carl Landry3536-0.13-0.370.24-0.04-3-6316.614.91.7215.417.1-1.72
Ray McCallum1717-0.15-0.350.200.03-6-3-313.316.1-2.8214.916.8-1.83
Nik Stauskas1213-0.16-0.340.180.08-8-1-719.215.04.1413.816.9-3.01
Ben McLemore4644-0.17-0.330.160.01-6-3-315.215.9-0.6916.516.40.11
Reggie Evans1820-0.21-0.290.080.02-8-1-718.115.03.1016.116.5-0.41
Ryan Hollins3332-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.07-8-1-715.515.6-0.1517.415.91.53
Jason Thompson6059-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.32-3-6315.316.0-0.6816.616.10.45
Rudy Gay6767-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.25-6-3-315.515.8-0.2816.815.21.62
Ramon Sessions4243-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.25-6-3-316.614.71.9516.816.00.79


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.26,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.39,0.29,0.04,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 82, SAS 730.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.27,0.17,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.04,092.8%
MIN 102, DEN 1000.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.25,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.08,092.3%
CHH 94, MIL 860.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.31,0.22,0.02,0.02,092.1%