NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	95		Excitement	4.0 [1014]		MVP	Patrick Beverley (HOU): +6.2%
Houston Rockets	100		Comeback	1.0 [645]		LVP	Markieff Morris (PHX): -15.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Len	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	64%	0.03	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
TJ Warren	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	12	58%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.05	17	52%	-0.00	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	14	53%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Morris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	9	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Goran Dragic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	14	41%	-0.03	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.19	-0.01	-0.05	14	14%	-0.12	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	12	63%	0.10	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	9	72%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joey Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	12	57%	0.07	4	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	15	50%	0.04	6	-0.09	8	87%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.23	-0.00	-0.12	21	32%	-0.03	6	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	28.4	15.7	24.8	1.8	41.2	139.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +48.0%

PHX -1.4%

HOU +14.2%

PHX -13.5%

HOU +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	HOU	NBA	PHX	HOU	NBA
this game	13.9	14.9	15.1	94.1	101.0	104.2
season	14.4	14.3		103.7	105.6
opponent	14.9	15.0		103.1	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.5	13.3	17.2	10.5	13.9
HOU	14.5	13.8	14.8	16.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	9	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-6	7	12.0	14.1	-2.13	14.7	14.9	-0.19
TJ Warren	29	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-1	-3	14.7	13.6	1.10	13.5	15.5	-1.96
Gerald Green	52	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.28	5	-10	15	14.1	13.8	0.24	13.6	16.2	-2.68
Miles Plumlee	28	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-2	-1	16.2	13.1	3.15	15.1	14.8	0.38
Markieff Morris	63	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.37	6	-11	17	13.5	14.6	-1.07	16.6	12.0	4.54
Marcus Morris	56	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-7	9	13.2	14.8	-1.55	14.5	15.3	-0.73
Alex Len	35	34	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.16	-18	13	-31	15.6	13.1	2.54	14.0	15.3	-1.37
PJ Tucker	71	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	0	-5	13.5	14.9	-1.36	15.2	14.2	1.01
Goran Dragic	85	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.39	-1	-4	3	13.8	14.5	-0.66	15.0	14.2	0.82
Eric Bledsoe	77	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.23	-8	3	-11	13.5	15.2	-1.72	15.1	14.3	0.71

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	81	84	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.33	3	2	1	14.7	15.8	-1.11	13.7	15.1	-1.42
Trevor Ariza	90	92	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	4	-3	15.2	11.3	3.89	13.7	16.3	-2.63
Patrick Beverley	55	57	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.12	8	-3	11	14.2	15.7	-1.55	13.7	14.2	-0.47
Jason Terry	81	81	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.42	-4	9	-13	15.2	13.3	1.94	13.5	15.6	-2.07
Donatas Motiejunas	71	69	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.26	1	4	-3	15.0	14.6	0.41	14.9	11.8	3.16
Tarik Black	33	34	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	-1	7	16.5	14.1	2.38	14.4	13.7	0.71
Nick Johnson	49	49	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.29	-3	8	-11	13.8	15.9	-2.04	13.6	14.2	-0.64
Francisco Garcia	18	19	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	-2	9	13.7	15.1	-1.47	14.4	13.8	0.53
Joey Dorsey	17	20	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.05	6	-1	7	15.2	14.8	0.37	14.4	13.8	0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 90, TOR 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	96.1%
CHI 99, PHI 121	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.89,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
MIN 75, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%