NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	75		Excitement	2.9 [1183]		MVP	Anthony Johnson (IND): +7.5%
Indiana Pacers	98		Comeback	1.1 [1140]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (MIN): -10.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.01	0.07	20	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ndudi Ebi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	61%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	18	58%	0.01	2	-0.02	7	43%	-0.03
Keith McLeod	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	1	62%	0.00	3	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Mark Madsen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	7	20%	-0.04	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	-0.01	-0.04	8	0%	-0.10	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.00	7	71%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	71%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	11	46%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	0.00	0.07	10	65%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	18	53%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	11	39%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	16	47%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	481.8	2.7	26.2	17.7	24.0	2.0	28.0	582.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +41.2%

MIN -5.4%

IND +10.0%

IND +3.0%

IND +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	IND	NBA	MIN	IND	NBA
this game	15.1	19.0	15.7	88.2	116.7	100.5
season	15.6	16.7		103.2	101.1
opponent	15.7	16.1		94.7	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.0	14.0	13.5	16.1	15.1
IND	16.5	20.3	19.2	19.9	19.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ndudi Ebi	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-20	17	14.2	15.2	-0.99	19.4	18.9	0.45
Quincy Lewis	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-19	15	14.2	15.2	-0.99	19.2	19.0	0.21
Ervin Johnson	9	10	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.17	-10	-13	3	14.2	15.2	-1.01	21.0	18.7	2.30
Keith McLeod	16	16	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.33	-17	-6	-11	14.1	15.4	-1.24	18.6	19.1	-0.43
Fred Hoiberg	47	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-17	11	15.1	15.1	0.04	21.1	16.3	4.84
Kevin Garnett	71	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-18	13	15.3	14.4	0.84	18.6	20.9	-2.30
Mark Madsen	38	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	-12	1	15.2	15.1	0.15	18.1	19.7	-1.64
Sam Cassell	69	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-17	11	15.4	14.1	1.24	19.1	18.6	0.43
Gary Trent	47	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.13	-16	-7	-9	15.1	15.1	-0.00	19.9	17.9	1.97
Trenton Hassell	51	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.24	-21	-2	-19	15.9	14.0	1.83	17.5	21.2	-3.75
Latrell Sprewell	67	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.08	-16	-7	-9	14.6	17.0	-2.37	18.6	20.4	-1.87

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	69	72	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.21	24	-1	25	18.4	21.5	-3.11	15.4	13.8	1.61
Jermaine O'Neal	59	60	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.28	24	-1	25	18.2	20.8	-2.60	15.0	15.5	-0.55
Reggie Miller	56	56	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.31	24	-1	25	17.9	21.1	-3.14	14.6	16.1	-1.53
Kenny Anderson	52	53	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.31	23	0	23	17.7	21.1	-3.42	14.9	15.5	-0.59
Jeff Foster	53	55	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.17	17	6	11	17.5	21.5	-3.97	15.2	15.1	0.10
Al Harrington	45	45	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	21	-19	21.5	16.1	5.41	15.2	15.1	0.06
Anthony Johnson	32	32	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	23	-23	21.1	17.7	3.42	15.5	14.9	0.59
Fred Jones	32	31	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	22	-21	21.1	17.7	3.47	15.9	14.7	1.17
Austin Croshere	18	18	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.08	-2	25	-27	20.2	18.6	1.59	15.2	15.1	0.12
Primoz Brezec	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	21	-19	23.0	18.8	4.22	13.0	15.2	-2.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 91, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.82,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.7%
CHH 89, CLE 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
WAS 92, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1	96.4%