NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	107		Excitement	10.4 [62]		MVP	Monta Ellis (DAL): +69.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	105		Comeback	11.4 [135]		LVP	Chandler Parsons (DAL): -23.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0.70	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,0.13,0.7	-0.01	0.69	-0.02	26	43%	0.70	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.04,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	7	93%	0.24	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	11	64%	0.20	4	-0.12	6	33%	-0.08
Jose Juan Barea	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandan Wright	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	70%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	62%	0.04	1	-0.05	6	83%	-0.03
Charlie Villanueva	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08	0.04	-0.12	0.01	11	57%	-0.07	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	0.00	6	17%	-0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	17	39%	-0.08	4	-0.15	2	50%	-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.14	0.00	16	64%	0.47	3	-0.25	7	100%	0.12
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	-0.00	13	66%	0.24	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.03
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.09	0.00	5	80%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	6	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	6	57%	0.09	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
O.J. Mayo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.02	-0.12	-0.00	7	60%	0.09	2	-0.19	6	67%	-0.03
Jabari Parker	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.13	0.01	6	47%	-0.01	2	-0.15	5	40%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.3	31.6	16.3	25.5	2.5	37.5	142.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +22.2%

MIL -27.0%

DAL +11.7%

DAL +42.3%

DAL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIL	NBA	DAL	MIL	NBA
this game	15.3	13.9	15.1	108.1	107.1	104.2
season	14.6	14.5		107.6	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.0		101.0	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.4	15.9	15.5	14.4	15.3
MIL	14.6	10.8	18.1	13.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chandler Parsons	71	71	0.93	-0.43	1.37	0.55	13	-11	24	14.5	17.2	-2.64	14.1	13.6	0.49
Jameer Nelson	65	65	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.62	9	-7	16	14.4	16.9	-2.53	13.3	15.3	-2.00
Monta Ellis	77	77	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.61	8	-6	14	14.2	18.9	-4.66	13.4	16.0	-2.55
Tyson Chandler	68	65	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.47	9	-7	16	15.7	14.5	1.21	13.7	14.4	-0.63
Al-Farouq Aminu	60	56	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	-4	10	15.4	15.1	0.34	15.3	12.2	3.12
Richard Jefferson	45	46	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.12	-6	8	-14	15.8	14.8	0.99	14.0	13.9	0.10
Charlie Villanueva	7	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	6	-10	16.7	15.2	1.54	7.3	14.4	-7.05
Jae Crowder	15	17	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	7	-12	16.0	15.2	0.85	11.2	14.5	-3.35
Brandan Wright	31	33	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.03	-7	9	-16	14.5	15.7	-1.21	14.4	13.7	0.63
Jose Juan Barea	22	21	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.17	-6	8	-14	18.9	14.2	4.66	16.0	13.4	2.55
Devin Harris	34	33	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.17	-7	9	-16	16.9	14.4	2.53	15.3	13.3	2.00

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Marshall	29	31	0.43	-0.93	1.37	0.23	7	-9	16	13.6	14.1	-0.56	17.8	14.1	3.72
Jerryd Bayless	39	41	0.40	-0.90	1.30	0.22	6	-8	14	15.0	13.3	1.75	16.4	14.5	1.89
Giannis Antetokounmpo	38	38	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-2	2	14.5	13.6	0.90	15.1	15.4	-0.29
Larry Sanders	42	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	9	-20	15.1	13.1	2.01	14.3	16.1	-1.78
Jared Dudley	49	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-5	8	13.8	14.1	-0.35	16.0	14.5	1.48
Jabari Parker	49	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	3	-8	14.1	13.8	0.35	14.5	16.0	-1.48
Zaza Pachulia	56	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.55	9	-11	20	13.1	15.1	-2.01	16.1	14.3	1.78
Khris Middleton	60	61	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.45	-2	0	-2	13.6	14.5	-0.90	15.4	15.1	0.29
O.J. Mayo	59	58	-0.90	0.40	-1.30	-0.66	-8	6	-14	13.3	15.0	-1.75	14.5	16.4	-1.89
Brandon Knight	69	68	-0.93	0.43	-1.37	-0.67	-9	7	-16	14.1	13.6	0.56	14.1	17.8	-3.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.77,0.67,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.67,0.64,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.86,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 86, DAL 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.52,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.72,0.45,0.31,0	90.9%
SAS 96, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.68,0.42,0	90.3%
DET 97, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.42,0.47,0.64,0.66,0.83,0.68,0.79,0.78,0.42,0	90.1%