NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	105		Excitement	8.1 [236]		MVP	Robin Lopez (POR): +44.4%
Denver Nuggets	103		Comeback	11.1 [136]		LVP	Ty Lawson (DEN): -14.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robin Lopez	0.44	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.44	0.10	0.34	-0.00	5	92%	0.44	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.32	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.31,0.32,0.32	0.18	0.16	0.02	30	57%	0.32	0	0.00	9	78%	0.02
Steve Blake	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.05	0.00	5	130%	0.21	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joel Freeland	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,-0.07	-0.02	-0.07	-0.02	15	44%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Damian Lillard	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.09	0.01	15	53%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	6	33%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arron Afflalo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.12	-0.01	14	60%	0.24	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	8	65%	0.11	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	4	60%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.06	-0.00	13	67%	0.20	4	-0.21	1	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	-0.00	9	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.07,-0.14	-0.14	0.05	-0.19	0.01	16	62%	0.16	4	-0.30	7	43%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.8	28.2	15.7	25.2	1.7	36.0	132.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN -2.6%

POR +7.8%

POR +5.8%

POR +37.5%

POR +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DEN	NBA	POR	DEN	NBA
this game	15.6	14.5	15.1	109.4	108.4	104.2
season	15.3	14.6		106.5	103.4
opponent	15.3	15.0		106.6	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.4	13.9	15.9	17.5	15.6
DEN	13.9	14.9	14.1	15.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	61	63	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.32	16	-14	30	15.3	16.2	-0.92	15.3	13.1	2.13
Nicolas Batum	71	69	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.50	8	-6	14	15.5	15.9	-0.41	15.1	13.2	1.90
LaMarcus Aldridge	75	75	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.46	8	-6	14	15.7	15.1	0.60	14.7	14.0	0.62
Wesley Matthews	72	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.46	0	2	-2	15.3	16.5	-1.18	14.3	15.3	-1.02
Steve Blake	49	47	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.23	6	-4	10	15.3	15.9	-0.63	14.4	14.6	-0.18
Damian Lillard	60	61	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.20	2	0	2	16.1	14.8	1.25	15.0	13.8	1.16
Joel Freeland	21	20	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.02	-6	8	-14	15.1	15.7	-0.60	14.0	14.7	-0.62
Allen Crabbe	36	35	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.02	-10	12	-22	16.1	15.3	0.71	13.4	15.2	-1.80
Chris Kaman	35	32	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	0.04	-14	16	-30	16.2	15.3	0.92	13.1	15.3	-2.13

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danilo Gallinari	39	40	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.01	9	-11	20	14.2	14.8	-0.65	15.4	15.7	-0.33
Gary Harris	15	14	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.01	5	-7	12	11.5	15.1	-3.57	14.5	15.8	-1.30
Kenneth Faried	48	48	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.06	-1	-1	0	15.3	13.7	1.57	14.7	16.5	-1.85
Nate Robinson	12	12	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-2	2	13.6	14.7	-1.09	13.7	15.9	-2.13
Timofey Mozgov	45	45	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.23	5	-7	12	15.0	14.1	0.84	16.1	15.2	0.98
Darrell Arthur	36	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.26	4	-6	10	13.5	15.2	-1.71	16.1	15.3	0.75
Ty Lawson	83	84	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.45	-2	0	-2	14.7	13.6	1.09	15.9	13.7	2.13
Wilson Chandler	64	65	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.46	-6	4	-10	14.9	13.7	1.23	15.6	15.7	-0.14
JJ Hickson	61	63	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.37	-12	10	-22	14.2	15.1	-0.86	15.7	15.5	0.20
Arron Afflalo	72	73	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.50	-12	10	-22	15.0	13.0	1.97	16.0	14.5	1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.69,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.62,0.54,0.43,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 75, UTA 72	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.88,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.55,0.43,0.42,0	91.6%
ORL 76, IND 73	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.76,0.67,0.46,0.64,0.55,0.42,0	91.6%
TOR 91, BOS 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.74,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.78,0.53,0.64,0.31,0.08,0	91.0%