NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	106		Excitement	4.9 [823]		MVP	Jordan Hill (LAL): +12.6%
Detroit Pistons	96		Comeback	1.6 [526]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -18.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Hill	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.12	0.01	0.00	15	69%	0.13	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.03	0.03	6	100%	0.14	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Nick Young	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.03	13	58%	0.11	0	0.00	7	86%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.02	13	54%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	7	64%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.02	0.03	5	65%	0.04	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Robert Sacre	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	8	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.23,-0.21,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.20	-0.03	-0.05	11	48%	0.04	10	-0.23	3	100%	0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	7	73%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	65%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	8	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gigi Datome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	9	35%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	9	36%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.04	7	40%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	10	38%	-0.03	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Josh Smith	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	17	47%	0.02	5	-0.11	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.4	27.4	15.7	28.3	2.4	28.7	125.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +64.6%

DET -4.1%

DET -18.1%

LAL +3.6%

LAL +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DET	NBA	LAL	DET	NBA
this game	14.9	15.8	15.1	112.8	102.1	104.2
season	15.5	15.7		101.9	104.0
opponent	15.3	14.7		105.0	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.3	14.7	12.3	16.5	14.9
DET	14.4	18.0	16.0	14.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	53	53	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.04	16	-6	22	13.8	16.2	-2.41	15.3	16.3	-1.00
Jeremy Lin	62	61	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.11	12	-2	14	14.2	16.1	-1.92	14.7	17.8	-3.19
Wesley Johnson	57	58	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.07	12	-2	14	13.9	16.3	-2.41	16.1	15.3	0.72
Jordan Hill	63	62	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.12	10	0	10	14.5	15.6	-1.07	14.7	17.9	-3.28
Kobe Bryant	69	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	-5	20	14.3	16.4	-2.04	15.0	17.9	-2.97
Robert Sacre	31	32	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	10	-10	15.6	14.5	1.07	17.9	14.7	3.28
Nick Young	39	39	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	12	-14	15.9	14.1	1.73	16.3	15.4	0.91
Ed Davis	37	36	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.14	-2	12	-14	16.3	13.9	2.41	15.3	16.1	-0.72
Ronnie Price	32	33	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.10	-2	12	-14	16.1	14.2	1.92	17.8	14.7	3.19
Wayne Ellington	27	28	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.27	-9	19	-28	16.9	14.1	2.79	17.9	14.9	2.96

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gigi Datome	23	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.21	6	-16	22	14.8	16.1	-1.32	16.5	14.3	2.20
Jonas Jerebko	23	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.21	6	-16	22	14.8	16.1	-1.32	16.5	14.3	2.20
D.J. Augustin	46	46	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.32	9	-19	28	16.0	15.6	0.35	14.9	14.8	0.14
Greg Monroe	52	52	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-13	16	15.7	15.9	-0.15	14.9	14.8	0.05
Caron Butler	56	58	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-14	18	15.3	16.4	-1.13	14.5	15.5	-0.99
Cartier Martin	10	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	-4	-2	16.5	15.7	0.81	14.1	15.0	-0.87
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	65	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	2	-14	16.4	14.4	1.92	14.8	14.9	-0.11
Kyle Singler	34	33	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	2	-14	15.9	15.7	0.12	14.7	15.0	-0.25
Andre Drummond	49	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	3	-16	15.8	15.8	-0.00	14.9	14.9	-0.02
Brandon Jennings	48	48	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.11	-19	9	-28	15.6	16.0	-0.35	14.8	14.9	-0.14
Josh Smith	64	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	6	-22	16.2	14.9	1.29	14.3	16.2	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 109, DEN 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.27,0.33,0.2,0.09,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
MIN 90, MIL 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.07,0.14,0.07,0.06,0,0	94.5%
SAS 116, IND 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%