inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 109 Excitement4.8 [692] MVPStephen Curry (GSW): +28.6%
Denver Nuggets 101 Comeback1.7 [264] LVPRudy Fernandez (DEN): -16.8%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0.290,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.290.300.050.071788%0.311-0.02757%-0.03
Klay Thompson0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.150.000.061186%0.121-0.0200%0.00
Dorell Wright0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.020.07-0.011544%0.091-0.03450%-0.01
Brandon Rush0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.000.01-0.03642%0.0400.0000%0.00
Jeremy Tyler0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00050%0.0000.00250%-0.00
Chris Wright0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Charles Jenkins-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Nate Robinson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.010.00183%0.012-0.03475%0.00
Andris Biedrins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.010.011100%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Ekpe Udoh-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.01-0.0330%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Dominic McGuire-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.0210%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
David Lee-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.010.01957%0.024-0.07367%0.01
Monta Ellis-0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.05-0.031447%0.034-0.112100%0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.01-0.03775%0.132-0.03650%-0.03
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.17-0.010.141670%0.051-0.025100%0.01
Jordan Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.01462%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.001146%0.001-0.022100%0.01
Julyan Stone0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.00250%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Kosta Koufos0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.000.02543%-0.031-0.02450%-0.01
Kenneth Faried0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.00744%-0.011-0.04450%-0.02
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.011242%-0.021-0.032100%0.01
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.010.03840%-0.0600.00450%-0.02
Rudy Fernandez0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.13-0.05-0.011335%-0.064-0.1100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.528.315.426.22.433.3131.3
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +56.1%
GSW +4.6%
DEN -2.7%
DEN -10.4%
GSW +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWDENNBAGSWDENNBA
this game15.014.015.6109.0102.0102.8
season15.214.5103.6107.5
opponent15.815.4104.5106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW15.514.514.815.215.0
DEN12.816.214.612.514.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dorell Wright58570.430.070.360.0513-51815.714.01.6714.613.11.44
David Lee71700.420.080.34-0.1720-123215.114.80.3014.512.61.91
Stephen Curry74760.380.120.27-0.0615-72214.416.5-2.0714.412.61.77
Andris Biedrins45430.310.190.120.1171615.814.31.5514.013.90.09
Monta Ellis70700.250.250.010.1735-215.214.30.9113.714.6-0.92
Klay Thompson36360.230.27-0.040.1726-414.915.0-0.1314.313.80.57
Ekpe Udoh42420.230.27-0.05-0.2416-82414.115.6-1.4715.912.63.32
Brandon Rush43450.140.36-0.21-0.0671614.615.2-0.6015.013.11.85
Nate Robinson23210.110.39-0.280.0817-615.914.71.2213.514.1-0.63
Charles Jenkins980.000.50-0.500.35-1220-3214.415.0-0.586.014.7-8.67
Chris Wright980.000.50-0.500.35-1220-3214.415.0-0.586.014.7-8.67
Jeremy Tyler980.000.50-0.500.35-1220-3214.415.0-0.586.014.7-8.67
Dominic McGuire1111-0.000.50-0.510.23-816-2413.315.2-1.9111.614.3-2.63

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jordan Hamilton1213-0.00-0.500.50-0.2910-18287.714.8-7.0814.415.1-0.67
Julyan Stone2122-0.19-0.310.12-0.252-101213.114.2-1.1114.015.3-1.30
Al Harrington5150-0.21-0.290.08-0.01-7-1-614.413.50.9114.815.1-0.30
Nene6263-0.22-0.280.070.05-91-1014.612.91.6315.314.50.81
Arron Afflalo7476-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.353-111413.415.7-2.3415.214.30.84
Andre Miller4746-0.28-0.22-0.050.05-113-1414.413.60.8315.015.0-0.02
Kosta Koufos3737-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.311-91012.914.6-1.6314.515.3-0.81
Kenneth Faried4649-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.321-91013.314.5-1.2015.114.80.34
Ty Lawson7272-0.36-0.14-0.220.02-135-1814.313.01.3315.214.21.00
Rudy Fernandez7372-0.42-0.08-0.340.08-179-2615.310.25.0714.915.2-0.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.27,0.33,0.2,0.09,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
BKN 114, LAL 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.12,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,094.8%
LAL 106, DET 960.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,094.5%
LAL 130, NOP 1020.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.25,0.14,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.5%