NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	104		Excitement	4.0 [1012]		MVP	Draymond Green (GSW): +11.2%
Detroit Pistons	93		Comeback	2.0 [987]		LVP	Andre Drummond (DET): -9.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Draymond Green	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.03	-0.03	13	71%	0.17	4	-0.06	2	50%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	9	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	7	75%	0.04	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	11	60%	0.04	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	5	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	14	34%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.00	0.05	15	66%	0.07	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Kyle Singler	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	8	53%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	19	49%	-0.00	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	18	35%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	12	42%	-0.00	3	-0.06	7	43%	-0.03
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	8	12%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	28.6	15.8	25.4	1.8	29.3	128.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +46.5%

DET -0.5%

GSW +3.8%

GSW +0.0%

GSW +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	DET	NBA	GSW	DET	NBA
this game	13.3	16.2	15.1	107.2	94.9	104.2
season	13.6	15.7		109.2	104.0
opponent	15.3	15.5		105.0	99.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	10.0	13.4	13.6	16.6	13.3
DET	16.1	17.1	17.7	14.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	66	68	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	-3	17	13.0	13.8	-0.81	16.9	14.7	2.21
Marreese Speights	40	37	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	-1	13	12.3	13.9	-1.60	17.7	15.3	2.40
Klay Thompson	70	73	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.07	11	0	11	13.7	12.3	1.32	16.0	16.9	-0.92
Stephen Curry	58	60	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.01	11	0	11	12.6	14.3	-1.75	16.7	15.4	1.33
Draymond Green	68	70	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.19	4	7	-3	12.9	14.1	-1.16	15.5	18.0	-2.42
Andre Iguodala	55	52	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	4	3	13.6	12.9	0.72	16.2	16.3	-0.05
Shaun Livingston	45	44	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	7	-3	14.9	11.9	3.07	15.7	16.6	-0.88
Andrew Bogut	57	61	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	12	-13	13.9	12.3	1.60	15.3	17.7	-2.40
Leandro Barbosa	26	25	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.24	-7	18	-25	11.9	13.8	-1.87	16.7	16.1	0.60

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	13	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-7	3	15.2	16.4	-1.25	16.4	12.8	3.59
Brandon Jennings	74	72	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-13	15	16.1	16.8	-0.74	12.6	15.4	-2.84
Kyle Singler	58	54	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.24	1	-12	13	15.9	16.7	-0.79	13.4	13.2	0.23
Josh Smith	71	69	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-12	13	15.6	17.9	-2.23	13.4	13.1	0.26
Cartier Martin	27	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	-3	-5	16.7	16.1	0.60	15.1	12.6	2.47
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	76	75	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-7	3	16.0	17.0	-0.93	12.9	14.7	-1.80
Caron Butler	35	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	0	-11	16.9	15.9	1.01	12.7	13.7	-0.99
D.J. Augustin	24	25	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	2	-15	16.8	16.1	0.74	15.4	12.6	2.84
Andre Drummond	51	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	2	-15	16.7	15.7	0.98	12.4	14.2	-1.83
Greg Monroe	61	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-5	-1	16.8	15.3	1.46	13.2	13.4	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 105, ATL 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
CHH 104, MIL 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
IND 105, DET 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%