inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 91 Excitement7.7 [293] MVPMarreese Speights (GSW): +32.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder 86 Comeback1.3 [916] LVPSerge Ibaka (OKC): -20.4%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marreese Speights0.330,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.330.170.16-0.001862%0.3300.00967%0.00
Andre Iguodala0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03-0.030.05-0.01747%0.092-0.061100%0.01
Klay Thompson0.020,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.020.020.000.002045%0.0200.004100%0.01
Shaun Livingston-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.02-0.00425%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Draymond Green-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.010.001138%0.021-0.03475%-0.01
Andrew Bogut-0.030,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.01333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Festus Ezeli-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.02-0.00743%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Leandro Barbosa-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00217%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Brandon Rush-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.030.0010%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Stephen Curry-0.110,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11-0.03-0.070.011544%-0.071-0.04475%-0.02
Harrison Barnes-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.04-0.0350%-0.071-0.0400%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Morrow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.080.080.040.04-0.001159%0.172-0.09580%0.00
Steven Adams0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.020.01762%0.0600.002100%0.01
Sebastian Telfair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.020.00744%-0.0200.00250%-0.02
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00233%-0.0200.0020%-0.03
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.02629%-0.0400.005100%0.03
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.070.00-0.00433%-0.032-0.0440%-0.09
Andre Roberson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.060.00425%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Lance Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.03-0.01617%-0.061-0.0300%0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.06-0.012642%-0.062-0.041100%0.01
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2-0.20-0.11-0.10-0.011740%-0.014-0.196100%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.22.531.516.326.32.541.3147.6
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +29.7%
GSW +8.8%
GSW +4.0%
GSW +9.9%
OKC -2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWOKCNBAGSWOKCNBA
this game14.415.015.191.988.7104.2
season13.614.5109.2105.7
opponent15.015.5103.599.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW12.716.014.315.014.4
OKC15.615.314.514.415.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Klay Thompson77760.54-0.040.580.289-41314.613.80.8515.413.42.01
Andre Iguodala57540.470.040.430.267-2914.214.8-0.5714.515.5-0.95
Draymond Green82800.400.100.310.3232114.613.41.2315.213.81.45
Harrison Barnes50510.370.130.240.2250514.014.9-0.8814.315.7-1.44
Shaun Livingston26240.330.170.160.2141314.114.5-0.4315.114.90.22
Stephen Curry77770.250.25-0.000.1923-114.614.00.5615.214.20.96
Andrew Bogut18170.180.32-0.14-0.1110-51511.915.0-3.1116.214.71.48
Festus Ezeli27260.050.45-0.400.14-38-1116.013.92.1014.815.0-0.15
Brandon Rush17160.040.46-0.430.06-16-713.914.5-0.6713.315.3-1.97
Leandro Barbosa1212-0.020.52-0.540.04-27-914.214.5-0.2114.415.0-0.62
Marreese Speights5252-0.100.60-0.700.16-914-2314.814.00.7515.015.00.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Roberson6969-0.12-0.380.26-0.213-81114.915.1-0.1614.115.2-1.15
Kendrick Perkins3840-0.19-0.310.12-0.13-2-3115.114.90.2014.114.7-0.56
Steven Adams5252-0.22-0.280.06-0.251-6715.214.70.4215.213.61.60
Lance Thomas3433-0.23-0.270.030.06-105-1515.514.70.8812.515.4-2.83
Serge Ibaka6870-0.24-0.260.02-0.15-3-2-114.815.3-0.4514.414.5-0.12
Reggie Jackson7274-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.20-2-3115.114.60.5414.514.20.31
Sebastian Telfair3031-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.13-50-514.815.0-0.1815.114.10.96
Anthony Morrow6669-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.424-91314.416.1-1.7214.813.61.24
Nick Collison3333-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.17-50-515.314.80.5214.814.20.58
Jeremy Lamb2324-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.17-61-714.815.0-0.1714.314.5-0.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.52,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.04,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 67, MIA 650.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.29,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.15,093.1%
LAC 98, MEM 910.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.04,0.01,093.0%
POR 82, NYK 770.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.21,0.03,0.15,092.9%