NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	92		Excitement	8.2 [226]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +47.6%
Houston Rockets	95		Comeback	16.5 [58]		LVP	Monta Ellis (DAL): -31.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandan Wright	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.06	0.01	7	87%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	5	64%	0.13	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	7	76%	0.11	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.01	7	53%	0.10	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.05
Jameer Nelson	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	61%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	0.03	9	35%	-0.04	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2	-0.12	-0.07	0.00	18	27%	-0.20	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Monta Ellis	-0.32	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.11,-0.05,-0.32	-0.15	-0.18	-0.01	21	37%	-0.05	4	-0.27	4	50%	-0.04

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.48	0.48	0.12	0.37	0.01	18	65%	0.60	4	-0.12	13	92%	0.12
Joey Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	-0.07	0.02	16	62%	0.08	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.04	-0.01	10	32%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.05
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	7	78%	0.14	5	-0.18	4	75%	-0.01
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	3	37%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kostas Papanikolaou	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	11	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	10	35%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.4	32.3	15.7	31.3	1.7	46.2	151.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +24.9%

HOU +25.0%

DAL -6.5%

HOU +1.5%

HOU +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	HOU	NBA	DAL	HOU	NBA
this game	15.7	14.8	15.1	96.8	101.1	104.2
season	14.6	14.3		107.6	105.6
opponent	14.9	15.0		103.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.1	15.1	15.1	17.6	15.7
HOU	14.9	13.7	14.9	15.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	43	44	0.53	-1.03	1.55	0.29	8	-11	19	15.9	15.5	0.34	16.5	13.3	3.16
Al-Farouq Aminu	37	36	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.28	-2	-1	-1	16.1	15.4	0.71	15.2	14.5	0.73
Richard Jefferson	8	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-3	3	14.7	15.8	-1.01	14.8	14.8	-0.02
Jameer Nelson	58	57	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-3	3	14.6	17.4	-2.88	14.9	14.6	0.25
Brandan Wright	41	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-4	5	16.9	14.8	2.12	15.4	14.4	1.00
Tyson Chandler	54	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	1	-5	14.8	16.9	-2.12	14.4	15.4	-1.00
Jose Juan Barea	33	32	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	0	-3	17.7	14.6	3.10	14.5	15.0	-0.50
Dirk Nowitzki	63	62	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.44	-5	2	-7	15.7	15.7	-0.02	14.2	15.9	-1.63
Chandler Parsons	68	66	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.67	-4	1	-5	15.7	15.7	-0.04	14.3	15.9	-1.51
Monta Ellis	70	70	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.65	-6	3	-9	15.4	16.4	-0.93	14.5	15.7	-1.17

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Garcia	28	29	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.37	8	-5	13	15.1	14.7	0.39	15.7	15.7	-0.03
Donatas Motiejunas	73	75	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.43	4	-1	5	14.7	15.0	-0.32	16.1	13.9	2.18
James Harden	74	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.53	-3	6	-9	14.7	15.3	-0.64	15.1	17.7	-2.62
Trevor Ariza	69	70	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.36	0	3	-3	14.7	15.2	-0.49	15.3	16.6	-1.26
Kostas Papanikolaou	72	73	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.45	-4	7	-11	15.1	13.7	1.46	16.0	14.5	1.53
Jason Terry	47	46	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	-2	7	15.3	14.3	1.04	17.3	14.1	3.25
Tarik Black	30	29	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	1	1	13.5	15.4	-1.96	14.3	16.3	-1.96
Joey Dorsey	11	11	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	2	-1	15.5	14.7	0.85	15.5	15.7	-0.15
Isaiah Canaan	6	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	6	-9	14.3	14.8	-0.50	12.7	15.9	-3.21
Patrick Beverley	60	62	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.25	5	-2	7	14.8	14.7	0.10	15.5	16.0	-0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.81,0.71,0.83,0.68,0.69,0.53,0.33,0.31,0.16,0.09,0.09,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.64,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.63,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.34,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.27,1	90.6%
WAS 93, TOR 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.28,0.06,0.28,1	89.6%
DEN 94, DAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.67,0.59,0.67,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.81,0.67,0.39,0.29,0.15,0.08,1	88.8%