NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	99		Excitement	3.8 [1055]		MVP	Kevin Martin (MIN): +15.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	115		Comeback	1.1 [758]		LVP	Iman Shumpert (NYK): -16.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.00	0.01	10	91%	0.19	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.01	9	79%	0.15	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.11	0.00	0.10	5	78%	0.00	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Cole Aldrich	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Wear	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	47%	-0.01	2	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Shane Larkin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	0.04	8	53%	-0.00	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.20	-0.01	-0.05	11	14%	-0.07	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.27	-0.00	0.12	20	80%	0.21	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.04
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	9	70%	0.08	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	8	70%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	15	47%	0.05	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Anthony Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	7	57%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robbie Hummel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.12	0.03	-0.05	13	40%	0.05	5	-0.10	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.8	33.2	15.5	27.4	1.5	27.5	130.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +18.4%

MIN +1.0%

MIN +14.3%

MIN +15.5%

MIN +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIN	NBA	NYK	MIN	NBA
this game	15.0	15.7	15.1	106.5	121.1	104.2
season	16.1	15.0		98.5	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.0		110.5	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.0	14.7	15.2	14.0	15.0
MIN	16.0	14.1	14.2	18.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cole Aldrich	17	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.21	7	-23	30	14.9	15.0	-0.12	14.6	15.9	-1.30
Travis Wear	43	46	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.31	8	-24	32	14.0	15.8	-1.73	15.7	15.7	-0.00
Pablo Prigioni	37	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-15	14	14.5	15.3	-0.82	15.2	16.0	-0.78
Tim Hardaway Jr.	43	44	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-16	16	15.4	14.6	0.78	15.2	16.0	-0.79
Jason Smith	21	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.15	-10	-6	-4	14.0	15.3	-1.26	16.6	15.4	1.18
J.R. Smith	25	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.14	-10	-6	-4	17.1	14.2	2.93	15.4	15.8	-0.40
Amar'e Stoudemire	37	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	-8	0	16.2	14.2	2.01	15.9	15.5	0.42
Samuel Dalembert	18	17	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.14	-13	-3	-10	14.3	15.1	-0.80	13.2	16.2	-2.94
Quincy Acy	62	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-12	8	14.2	16.6	-2.45	16.4	14.2	2.21
Carmelo Anthony	52	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	-3	-10	15.3	14.6	0.70	15.9	15.3	0.62
Shane Larkin	56	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	-1	-14	15.3	14.5	0.82	16.0	15.2	0.78
Iman Shumpert	54	56	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.13	-21	5	-26	14.8	15.2	-0.35	15.6	15.8	-0.20

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	62	62	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.36	29	-13	42	15.4	16.2	-0.81	14.8	15.4	-0.66
Andrew Wiggins	56	53	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	6	4	16.1	15.0	1.11	15.6	14.1	1.50
Kevin Martin	69	70	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.27	22	-6	28	15.2	16.8	-1.64	14.6	16.2	-1.59
Gorgui Dieng	61	63	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.30	22	-6	28	16.1	14.9	1.20	15.1	14.8	0.31
Robbie Hummel	35	31	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.22	3	13	-10	15.1	16.0	-0.85	14.8	15.0	-0.21
Shabazz Muhammad	62	61	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.15	13	3	10	16.0	14.9	1.14	15.2	14.6	0.59
Corey Brewer	57	55	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.02	8	8	0	15.8	15.5	0.30	15.3	14.6	0.68
Anthony Bennett	28	28	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.28	-6	22	-28	15.2	15.9	-0.67	14.4	15.2	-0.79
Zach LaVine	33	31	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.39	-13	29	-42	16.2	15.4	0.81	15.4	14.8	0.66
Chase Budinger	8	7	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.12	-4	20	-24	13.2	15.9	-2.62	13.6	15.1	-1.52
Glenn Robinson	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	15.5	15.7	-0.16	12.2	15.1	-2.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 98, HOU 118	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
DEN 113, IND 144	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
LAC 82, MEM 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%