NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	102		Excitement	8.1 [237]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +82.2%
New York Knicks	100		Comeback	3.6 [249]		LVP	Jason Smith (NYK): -11.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Burke	0.53	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.53	0.06	0.47	-0.00	9	72%	0.55	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.52	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.51	0.19	0.34	0.01	18	72%	0.59	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.12
Derrick Favors	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19	0.09	0.11	0.01	15	57%	0.19	0	0.00	7	71%	0.02
Steve Novak	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Alec Burks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	9	45%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Joe Ingles	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	4	75%	0.09	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.04	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	4	75%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	3	67%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.82	0.82	0.26	0.58	0.01	26	68%	0.89	2	-0.07	16	81%	0.08
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	7	64%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.04,0.15,0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	8	76%	0.21	4	-0.21	1	100%	0.01
Cleanthony Early	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Wear	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	23%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	10	35%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	8	25%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.7	28.3	15.6	28.2	2.8	48.8	150.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +43.3%

UTA +18.5%

UTA +6.8%

NYK -23.4%

UTA +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NYK	NBA	UTA	NYK	NBA
this game	16.2	16.0	15.1	114.6	111.1	104.2
season	16.2	16.1		103.8	98.5
opponent	15.0	15.3		108.3	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.0	15.1	20.9	13.5	16.2
NYK	14.7	17.0	16.9	15.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Burke	65	66	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.38	16	-14	30	16.4	15.4	1.07	15.7	16.8	-1.05
Derrick Favors	57	59	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.31	15	-13	28	16.2	16.2	0.00	16.0	16.0	-0.02
Alec Burks	73	74	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.39	12	-10	22	15.8	17.9	-2.09	16.0	16.2	-0.20
Gordon Hayward	70	70	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.47	8	-6	14	16.2	16.1	0.13	16.3	15.0	1.31
Joe Ingles	41	41	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.54	-4	6	-10	14.3	17.8	-3.50	15.5	16.5	-1.03
Enes Kanter	23	23	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.09	10	-8	18	15.8	16.3	-0.45	16.2	16.0	0.20
Trevor Booker	38	38	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.12	-7	9	-16	18.7	14.3	4.46	15.9	16.1	-0.18
Rudy Gobert	32	31	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.13	-13	15	-28	16.2	16.2	-0.00	16.0	16.0	0.02
Steve Novak	16	17	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.09	-9	11	-20	14.8	16.5	-1.64	16.7	15.9	0.84
Dante Exum	30	31	-0.49	0.99	-1.48	0.04	-18	20	-38	16.7	15.9	0.82	16.4	15.8	0.61

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Wear	29	26	0.53	-1.03	1.57	0.24	10	-12	22	16.4	15.8	0.58	17.3	15.7	1.68
Jason Smith	43	43	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.12	1	-3	4	16.1	15.9	0.22	17.0	15.4	1.63
Iman Shumpert	3	2	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-4	6	16.3	16.0	0.32	8.0	16.3	-8.34
Pablo Prigioni	55	54	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.52	16	-18	34	15.9	16.2	-0.34	15.3	17.4	-2.10
J.R. Smith	41	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.38	11	-13	24	15.4	16.5	-1.07	13.9	18.2	-4.31
Cleanthony Early	13	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-3	4	17.0	15.9	1.14	13.8	16.6	-2.81
Shane Larkin	70	70	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	4	-10	16.2	15.2	0.99	16.3	15.6	0.74
Cole Aldrich	23	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.15	1	-3	4	14.9	16.4	-1.55	16.3	16.1	0.24
Tim Hardaway Jr.	27	28	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.12	-21	19	-40	16.7	15.7	1.03	18.4	15.1	3.31
Samuel Dalembert	35	34	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.27	-10	8	-18	16.4	15.8	0.57	16.4	16.0	0.36
Carmelo Anthony	73	70	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.40	-10	8	-18	15.9	16.6	-0.77	17.0	13.2	3.75
Quincy Acy	38	38	-1.00	0.50	-1.50	-0.85	-5	3	-8	15.8	16.2	-0.40	15.6	16.5	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.53,0.63,0.78,0.54,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 110, NYK 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.48,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.28,0.31,0.15,0.22,0,0	91.4%
NOP 99, DEN 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.42,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.35,0.22,0.2,0.22,0.06,0,0	91.0%
WAS 109, MIL 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.31,0.22,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.39,0.25,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.04,0,0,0	90.6%