NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	119		Excitement	14.0 [7]		MVP	Al Horford (ATL): +34.2%
Charlotte Hornets	122		Comeback	13.7 [89]		LVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): -74.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.14	0.21	0.01	16	69%	0.50	1	-0.16	3	67%	0.01
Pero Antic	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.26,0.26	0.04	0.22	-0.00	7	57%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.24	0.11	0.12	-0.01	12	69%	0.37	2	-0.13	5	80%	-0.02
Mike Scott	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	-0.06	0.29	-0.00	8	37%	0.30	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.08	-0.00	4	83%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
DeMarre Carroll	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.02	7	72%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Kent Bazemore	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	-0.19	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	11	50%	-0.02	6	-0.17	4	100%	0.03
Jeff Teague	-0.74	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.13,-0.25,-0.46,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,-0.6,-0.74	-0.10	-0.66	-0.02	23	44%	-0.43	5	-0.31	4	75%	-0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.33	0.33	-0.01	0.34	0.01	15	53%	0.46	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.03	-0.01	11	74%	0.23	1	-0.04	9	89%	0.07
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.29,0.11	0.11	0.13	-0.02	0.01	24	61%	0.29	1	-0.18	8	50%	-0.24
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	16	42%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	36%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.01	6	67%	0.09	3	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.07,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	8	62%	0.11	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
PJ Hairston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	4	44%	-0.02	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	27.0	15.5	26.9	1.8	34.4	1.8	27.6	2.5	14.3	179.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -4.0%

CHA +6.8%

CHA +50.0%

ATL -4.3%

CHA +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHA	NBA	ATL	CHA	NBA
this game	14.3	16.1	15.1	104.4	106.1	104.2
season	14.9	15.6		106.7	98.9
opponent	15.1	15.4		102.6	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ATL	14.1	14.3	13.2	17.0	13.2	14.3
CHA	16.5	17.0	15.6	16.5	14.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pero Antic	43	46	1.00	-1.50	2.51	0.45	19	-22	41	14.7	14.0	0.70	16.0	16.2	-0.20
Jeff Teague	85	86	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.30	10	-13	23	14.1	14.9	-0.79	16.4	15.2	1.17
Shelvin Mack	3	5	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-3	3	21.3	14.1	7.22	14.8	16.1	-1.34
Mike Scott	25	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.20	-8	5	-13	15.3	14.0	1.30	15.0	16.4	-1.46
DeMarre Carroll	74	75	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	7	-17	14.8	13.4	1.32	17.4	13.6	3.84
Dennis Schroder	26	27	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	8	-19	16.2	13.7	2.44	16.2	16.0	0.14
Paul Millsap	87	87	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.56	7	-10	17	13.8	16.1	-2.32	15.9	16.8	-0.94
Kyle Korver	92	90	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.63	5	-8	13	14.1	15.2	-1.08	15.7	17.3	-1.59
Kent Bazemore	2	1	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.41	-5	2	-7	3.5	14.5	-11.00	1.0	16.2	-15.21
Thabo Sefolosha	58	57	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.40	-7	4	-11	13.8	14.9	-1.08	15.7	16.4	-0.71
Al Horford	75	74	-0.90	0.40	-1.30	-0.46	-15	12	-27	14.1	14.6	-0.47	16.1	16.1	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	79	85	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.43	12	-9	21	16.3	15.6	0.76	14.0	15.3	-1.35
Lance Stephenson	93	94	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.46	10	-7	17	16.0	16.4	-0.41	14.3	14.1	0.19
Marvin Williams	50	46	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.67	-7	10	-17	16.0	16.1	-0.10	12.8	15.3	-2.52
Gary Neal	54	54	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.25	2	1	1	16.0	16.1	-0.11	14.5	14.1	0.44
Kemba Walker	86	86	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.46	-6	9	-15	15.8	16.8	-0.91	14.1	14.9	-0.82
Brian Roberts	29	28	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.05	9	-6	15	16.8	15.8	0.91	14.9	14.1	0.82
Cody Zeller	69	68	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	-2	7	15.6	16.8	-1.21	15.3	12.8	2.52
Jason Maxiell	31	29	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.10	-1	4	-5	17.1	15.7	1.35	15.3	14.0	1.35
PJ Hairston	25	23	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	-0.15	-6	9	-15	16.6	15.9	0.62	13.7	14.5	-0.82
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	50	47	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	-0.18	-6	9	-15	15.6	16.5	-0.92	14.3	14.3	-0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.43,0.84,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.45,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 93, NYK 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.73,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.46,0.55,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.54,0.61,0.46,0.45,0.58,1	86.8%
MEM 96, CHA 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.68,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.08,0	86.8%
UTA 94, VAN 89	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.53,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.24,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.16,0	86.6%